After opening at 12/1 (13.0) to lift inaugural Nations League crown, England lost their first group game at home to Spain and drifted to 14/1 (15.0) with Luis Enrique’s men at 7/2 (4.50).
A 0-0 draw in Croatia left England trailing the group leaders by five points already and soon found themselves way out at 20/1 (21.0), but a stunning result in Seville handed the Three Lions a lifeline.
England blitzed Spain with three goals in the first 40 minutes and eventually won 3-2, with an away win priced at 5/1 (6.0) in that match and the correct score all the way out at 40/1 (41.0).
Despite that result, Gareth Southgate’s side were still out at 12/1 (13.0) and needed Croatia to get a result at home to Spain, who still sat comfortably at 3/1 (4.0) prior to kick-off there.
Of course, Zlatko Dalic led his World Cup finalists to a 3-2 victory, avenging their 6-0 humiliation in Elche from September, and La Roja were pushed all the way out at 10/1 (11.0).
Ahead of Sunday’s crucial fixture at Wembley, England are 17/20 (1.85) favourites whilst the draw – which would see Spain qualify – is 13/5 (3.60) and a Croatia victory can be backed at 3/1 (4.0).