JD's Betting Blog: Where the value lies in the Europa League plus weekend tips

It's been a mixed week for JD and he's broken even. This weekend he's backing Roberto Mancini's men in the derby and Napoli to get the better of Inter Milan
It was a mixed week last week but we broke even on all selections. We were a goal short from making an overall profit and I am confident we will return to profit mode this week.

It has been a busy week in the football world with the last group matches in the Champions League and Europa League. The draw for the last 16 in the Champions league will be made on December 20th and it will be fascinating to see how they pair up.

Be careful of Champions Legaue dropouts

Last years Champions League champions Chelsea were eliminated from a tough group after Juventus beat Shakhtar Donetsk on Wednesday.  

They are as big as 10/1 (11.0) to win the Europa League and they will have their supporters at that price. 

I would be very careful about backing teams to win the Europa League after they have dropped out of the Champions League though.

Last year, when the two Manchester clubs dropped into the Europa League, they were made favourites to win that competition.

I warned readers at the time that they would not be motivated to win it and it was to best look elsewhere. Neither of them made an impression in the tournament. Motivation is very important in any sport and I would favour teams that are keen to make an impact.

Atletico Madrid will do everything in their power to defend their title and they appeal most at the current price of 7/1 (8.0) with Bet365.

Teams from Ukraine are rapidly improving and Metalist Kharkiv at 33/1 (34.0) with Bet365 and Dnipro at 40/1 (41.0) will outperform those odds and represent good outside value.

Weekend Tips

Looking ahead to the weekend, the Manchester derby will be the highlight fixture in the Premier League.

Manchester City have plenty of room for improvement in their displays and they can exploit a fragile opposition defence and win this contest.

They are around 6/5 (2.20) with Bet365 and are worth supporting at that price when you consider their home supremacy.

In Italy, Inter Milan and Napoli clash at San Siro. Napoli had the upper hand last season when they met and that could easily continue.

The form of the Nerazzuri has dipped in recent weeks and the visitors can be backed at 6/5 (2.20) draw no bet, so in the case of the match finishing level you would receive your stake back.

Selection One
Selection Two
Manchester City to win at 6/5 (2.20) with bet365 Napoli to win (Draw no Bet) at 6/5 (2.20) with bet365

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