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Stoke City v Manchester City Betting Tips: Latest odds, team news, preview and predictions

3:12 PM GMT 12/03/2018
Gabriel Jesus Manchester City
Pep Guardiola’s Citizens are rightly heavy favourites to beat Paul Lambert’s Potters, but our tipster doesn’t fancy a goal glut at the bet365 Stadium

Champions-elect Manchester City make the short trip south to take on relegation-threatened Stoke City.

The Citizens will mathematically rubber-stamp the Premier League title should they win their next three games, while their hosts - 4/5 (1.8) in dabblebet's latest relegation betting - seek a second win of Paul Lambert’s tenure.

Latest odds

Unsurprisingly, City are 1/4 (1.25) for a staggering 26th league victory of the campaign, which would take them 16 points clear of their city rivals.

Stoke are 11/1 (12.0) to pull off what would be one of the biggest shocks of the season, or 5/1 (6.0) to draw their fifth game in seven since Lambert took over.

Team news

Raheem Sterling is tipped to return to the City starting line-up and is 4/1 (5.0) to score first. Sergio Aguero is set to be out for up to two weeks with a knee injury, so Gabriel Jesus must step up; the Brazilian is 4/6 (1.83) to score anytime.

Stoke will be without Mame Biram Diouf due to a shoulder injury, but Kevin Wimmer and Saido Berahino are expected to return to the match-day squad while key man Xherdan Shaqiri is 9/2 (5.5) to find the net at any point.

Back unders

Since November, Gabriel Jesus has played over 75 minutes of just five games, in which City have scored a combined four goals. Stoke have conceded just four goals in six under Lambert and might favour damage limitation should they fall behind, so a low-scoring away win might appeal. Man City to win and Under 2.5 goals is 13/5 (3.6) while a 1-0 win for Pep’s men is 13/2 (7.5).

Preview and predictions

For our best bet, we’ll take the more conservative option of 11/10 (2.1) on a Manchester City win with Under 3.5 goals. While it would be foolish not to expect an away win, Stoke should be sufficiently organised to avoid a result similar to the 7-2 trouncing in October’s reverse fixture.

Manchester City to win and under 3.5 goals at 11/10 (2.10) for a 3pt stake with dabblebet