Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest Betting: Visitors to find the net at Villa Park

Getty Images
Steve Bruce's Villans are unbeaten in five in the Championship and whilst they should beat Mark Warburton's men, Saturday's second half will be key

After a poor start to the season which saw them lose twice in their first three games, Aston Villa can make it six matches without loss when they host Nottingham Forest on Saturday.

Steve Bruce's men secured a confidence-boosting 3-0 win at Barnsley last time out - their first win in nearly a month -  and a second consecutive victory could kick-start the Villans' campaign.

They face a Forest side who are above them in the table but have lost three in their last four, making Aston Villa clear favourites at 3/4 (1.75) with bet365 to claim the spoils.

Steve Bruce Aston Villa

Opponents Forest don’t yet look genuine promotion contenders, but after years of mediocre football though, fans are refreshed to at least have a manager with a philosophy in line with the man who brought them their finest years.

They are 19/4 (5.75) to take the points, whilst a draw is priced at 13/5 (3.60).

Mark Warburton is a tactical purist who encourages open, attractive football, without paying undue attention to the opposition and that approach has led to open second halves, with a whopping 14 goals coming after the break in games involving his side this season - including three in last week’s 2-1 defeat to Wolves.

Aston Villa Nottingham Forest graphic

In fact, second halves involving Forest and Villa have seen 27 goals at either end, on average 1.7 per game; over 1.5 post-interval goals can be found at Evens (2.0) which offers a smidge of value: past form indicates a likelihood of 56% which, although only from a 16-game sample, is 6% greater than the implied probability of the odds.

Some may be reluctant to back goals when the hosts have kept three straight league clean sheets – and those sold on their defence can take 5/4 (2.25) on a fourth - however, that run includes two goalless draws and a third 0-0 stalemate can be backed at 9/1 (10.0).

True value lies in Forest netting in the second period again, though, and they are 5/4 (2.25) to do just that - a price well worth getting onside with due to their capacity for the odd attacking wonder-show under Warburton.

Nottingham Forest 5/4 to score in the second half at 5/4 (2.25) for a 1pt stake with bet365

bet365 new account offer footer UK

Next article:
Chivas overhaul comes too late for Club World Cup success
Next article:
Europa League 2018-19: Favourites, outsiders, underdogs, qualified teams & fixtures
Next article:
Salah headlines CAF Player of the Year shortlist as Koulibaly misses out
Next article:
Liverpool 'not really likely' to be active in January window, reveals Klopp
Next article:
Juventus defender Cancelo has knee surgery