Betting Preview: A win for Peru against Nigeria

Tipster Phil Kitromilides is predicting home advantage and altitude to prove decisive for Peru in Lima when they take on Stephen Keshi's side
Ahead of this international friendly in Lima, Nigeria coach Stephen Keshi suggested that his side would face a tricky and complex encounter because of the passion of the Peruvians as well the altitude.

Looking at the statistics the Super Eagles coach is correct to be wary of a Peru side who have lost only two of their last 13 home matches.

A win for Peru is priced at 11/10 (2.10) with Bet365 while an away victory is on offer at 23/10 (3.30). If Peru's home form has been strong then Nigeria have been uninspiring on their travels, recording only one win in their last five matches on the road.

Their trip to South America for this match was fraught with delays forcing the Nigerians to arrive two days late, impeding their preparations for the clash.

Taking into account the considerable home advantage of playing at altitude, plus the attacking talent in the Peruvian squad (Claudio Pizarro, Paolo Guerrero, Jefferson Farfan to name but a few) a victory for Peru looks likely and the odds tempting.

Despite losing their last two World Cup qualifiers against Chile and Ecuador, Peru have shown themselves extremely capable of scoring goals and are an exciting attacking team.

Against a Nigerian side prone to defensive disorganisation they should prosper, and the chances of there being over 2.5 goals look good, certainly good enough to consider making a small investment at the price of evens (2.00).

This bet has paid out in three out of Peru's last five matches, and given their slight wobble in World Cup qualifying they will be extremely keen to placate the expectant public in Lima with a few goals and a good performance.

Best Bet: Peru to win at 11/10 (2.10) with Bet365

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Phil Kitromilides is a sports broadcaster working on radio and TV in London and Madrid, you can also follow Phil on Twitter