Nottingham Forest and Birmingham go head-to-head at the City Ground in the Championship on Saturday teatime.
Forest, 4/1 (5.0) with William Hill for promotion, have set their sights on a top six challenge following a summer of ambitious recruitment which has seen the likes of Sam Byram and Lewis Grabban join.
By contrast, Birmingham are big outsiders for promotion at 33/1 (34.0) and, with a similar squad to the one that avoided the drop on the final day last season, would be content with a year away from the dogfight.
The hosts are understandably 10/11 (1.91) favourites to record a second league win of the campaign, after a 1-0 win over Reading two weeks ago.
Birmingham though were unlucky to accrue only one point from their last two clashes with Swansea and Bolton and are 3/1 (4.0) to record the first win of the campaign they have been threatening.
A draw has occurred in five of the combined eight Championship matches involving these sides this season and a repeat is 5/2 (3.5).
Portuguese wide man Diogo Goncalves is a doubt here so academy graduate Matty Cash, who deserved his goal in the 2-2 draw at Wigan last time out, could start on the right-wing.
Garry Monk is unlikely to make many changes from the side which lost against Bolton in midweek despite a competitive performance, but speedy forward Che Adams could replace Omar Bogle. David Davis is a long-term absentee.
Blues’ wide men to strike?
Inverted right winger Jota has had five shots blocked so far this season, the joint-most of all the wide men in the Championship, and the enigmatic Spaniard is 4/1 (5.0) to score anytime.
From the left, Jacques Maghoma has hit the target five times – only two wide men have had more – and the former Sheffield Wednesday man is 4/1 (5.0) to bag at any point.
Birmingham’s strikers are currently lacking confidence in front of goal, so Jota and Maghoma could be their chief threats.
Preview and predictions
Forest looked excellent in the 1-1 draw with West Brom, but have appeared slightly flat going forward in the subsequent two league matches, which saw them record just a combined seven shots on target.
There is reason to think the visitors are slightly undervalued in the market here, so our best bet is the 17/20 (1.85) on the Birmingham or draw Double Chance.