Goal.com's new contributor has his say on events in the Bundesliga and gives his local expertise on the Nordic leagues.
The deal Borussia Dortmund made with Real Madrid over Nuri Sahin this week really got me worried about the state of the Bundesliga. It seems that the league is destined to be dominated by Bayern Munich, with the other clubs happily shipping their best players off to Spain as soon as they get a half-decent offer.
A price of €10 million certainly doesn’t qualify as more than half-decent for a player of Sahin's calibre. Werder Bremen got around €18 million for Mesut Oezil last year, but look where they ended up after shipping off their golden nugget.
Borussia Dortmund's whole team has been extremely impressive this year, but in my opinion, there has been three true stand-outs, whose performances have been world class in almost every single game they’ve played – Mats Hummels, Neven Subotic and Nuri Sahin.
|"It seems that the Bundesliga is destined to be dominated by Bayern Munich, with the other clubs happily shipping their best players off to Spain as soon as they get a half-decent offer."
- Benjamin Lindqvist
The team showed inexperience when they faced more physical, defensively organised teams in Europe than they were used to facing in the Bundesliga. If the club decides to accept another sub-par offer for either Subotic or Hummels, it’s hard to see it as anything other than an admission that the team doesn’t belong on the biggest footballing stage in the world.
Last week, our recommended bet on Djurgarden to beat Halmstad won quite easily as the home side ran out 2-0 winners, while GAIS ended up losing a competitive game after being slightly the better team when looking at the whole game.
Match Odds: Malmo 1.80, Draw 3.50, Orebro 4.0 (William Hill)
Champions Malmo are goalless in three games and will be hungry to turn their form around this weekend when they host overrated Orebro who have never been very strong away from home. A price of 1.80 on the home win is very generous. The champions won the corresponding fixture 3-0 last season.
Match Odds: AIK 2.50, Draw 3.20, Helsingborg 2.62 (William Hill)
AIK hosts Helsingborg in a meeting which has the look of being goalless thanks to excellent keepers and good pressing games from both sides. At the time of writing, AIKs new centre-half Alexander Milosevic is priced at 51.0 as first goalscorer at some places, which is ridiculous considering he starts every game, is 191 cm tall and scored five times in six games for his old club Vasalund. Odds of 25.0+ should be considered great value here.
Match Odds: Tromso 1.50, Draw 3.80, Sarpsborg 6.0 (William Hill)
In Norway, Tromso will take on newly promoted Sarpsborg. Both teams tend to go 'unders' and that could be magnified by the fact that it’s their first meeting ever and they might want to feel each other out a bit before committing. Under 2.5 goals is widely available for 2.0+.
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Benjamin Lindqvist has been a successful advantage gambler for over five years, moving from beating the toughest no limit texas hold ‘em cash games on the internet to consistently raking in profits from the sports betting markets. You can visit his personal site Football Experts here.
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