With Brazil missing their star forward and Germany looking a little tentative in front of goal, Phil Kitromilides explains why he is backing under 0.5 goals in the first halfIt is a curious thing to have reached a World Cup semi-final without putting in a complete performance, yet that is just the accusation that could be aimed at Brazil.
Apart from their group stage win over Cameroon (in which they still conceded an equaliser) the hosts have not looked overly comfortable in any game, and they were desperately holding on by the end of their last eight clash with Colombia.
The Germans, meanwhile, have perhaps been more in control of their games, never really looking in trouble against France in the previous round, although they were given a scare by Algeria in the last 16.
It is perhaps because of these performances that for the first time this tournament we find Brazil as fractional outsiders for a match priced at 9/5 (2.80) by bet365, while Germany are offered at 7/4 (2.75). The draw is available at 23/10 (3.30).
The loss of their two best players Neymar (injured) and Thiago Silva (suspended) will also have impacted on Brazil's price and if we have hitherto seen little to inspire confidence in backing Felipe Scolari's side, they are now even more unappealing with those high profile absentees.
Germany for their part look more functional than flamboyant despite playing some attractive football and Joachim Low's men are not a side that have looked overly threatening in front of goal.
Indeed perhaps a lack of a killer instinct in front of goal is the one major criticism of the side, and so bearing in mind the injury problems Brazil have, a low-scoring game could be on the cards.
Under 2.5 goals is offered at 1/2 (1.50) but more attractive is the price of 5/4 (2.25) for under 0.5 goals in the first half.
Brazil have scored five goals in the first halves of matches at the World Cup but four of them have been scored by either Neymar or Thiago Silva. Meanwhile, this selection has paid out in three of Germany's last four matches, making it a solid option at a decent price.
|Under 0.5 goals in the first half at 5/4 (2.25) for a 2.5pt stake with bet365