The Zebrette have won five and lost just one of their last eight matches on home turf and are 8/11 (1.73) favourites with bet365 to send the fans home happy with another three points.
Having secured their top flight status with weeks to spare, Sinisa Mihajlovic’s men seem to have switched off slightly after losing five of their last six fixtures, and are 7/2 (4.50) outsiders to end that poor run with a victory here.
Just one of the last seven league meetings between the sides have resulted in a draw, but you can get odds of 14/5 (3.80) on them sharing the spoils this time out.
Having taken over at the Luigi Ferraris in November with the club embroiled in a relegation battle, Mihajlovic’s impact was so positive that many were touting the Blucerchiati for a possible European push just a few weeks ago.
However, a string of disappointing recent results suggests the team had already settled for a place mid-table, with their Serbian boss admitting that the fight to escape the bottom three had taken its toll on his players.
Mihajlovic’s insistence that his team had 'already won their Scudetto’ prior to last weekend’s final home game against Napoli gave a taste of things to come, as a pedestrian performance saw them slip to a 5-2 defeat.
This lack of urgency should play into the home team’s hands on Saturday, as Francesco Guidolin’s men have shown themselves more than capable of taking the sting out of a game in front of their own fans.
Three of the hosts’ last four victories in their own back yard have come via a 1-0 scoreline, while they have only conceded seven goals in their last eight home games.
With this in mind, odds of 27/20 (2.35) are not to be missed on under 2.5 goals going in when Francesco Guidolin’s team take on an attack that have scored just five goals in their previous seven fixtures, in a bet that would have paid out in six of the last seven games at the Stadio Friuli.
|Under 2.5 goals for a 1pt stake at 27/20 (2.35) with bet365
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Al Hain-Cole is an experienced tipster and avid follower of European football. He specialises in accumulators and if you would like to read more from Al you can follow him on Twitter here.