Everton come into this match having slipped up at the weekend away to Southampton. Two first half own goals put the game beyond them at St Mary's, with Roberto Martinez's side now having to rely on Arsenal to drop points if they are to have a chance of snatching the fourth spot in the league.
Even with the Gunners needing to slip up, Everton still have to beat City this weekend, and Hull City away on the final day of the season. Paddy Power price them at 7/2 (4.50) to beat the title favourites on Saturday afternoon.
Manuel Pellegrini brings his side into this game after a solid victory away at Crystal Palace. City took full advantage of Chelsea's win at Liverpool to close to gap on the Reds to three points. As a result of that win, City now have a game in hand and a stronger goal difference which puts them in pole position.
A win against Everton is vital if they realistically want to win the league, with Paddy Power pricing them at 3/4 (1.75) to do so. The same firm price the draw at 14/5 (3.80).
As well as having a number of injuries, Everton will also be without the influential Gareth Barry, who cannot play against his parent club. Earlier this season Everton were unbeaten in their first six league games, only to go to City and lose 3-1, with Barry proving to be a big miss. The same could be the case this weekend, which could give City the edge.
Instead of backing the visitors at a price which is a little short, backing goals in the first half seems to be the play.
Over 1.5 first half goals at 5/4 (2.20) with Paddy Power seems like a fantastic price. This would have landed in four of Everton's and City's last five games. With both sides likely to start the game quickly to gain the initiative, expect goals to be plentiful early on.
|Over 1.5 goals at 5/4 (2.20) 2.5pt stake with Paddy Power|
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