Our man in Spain, Phil Kitromilides, is backing the Andalusians to come out on top in this evening's all La Liga semi-final
The sides come into this meeting having had extremely different seasons, with Valencia languishing in the ignominy of mid-table while Sevilla are pushing for a Champions League place, trailing Athletic Bilbao by just three points with four games to go.
Naturally the home side are favorites this evening with the Andalusians offered at 4/5 (1.80) with Paddy Power, while Valencia can be backed at 7/2 (4.50) and the draw is available at 13/5 (3.60).
Yet, punters should be confident about backing a victory for Sevilla and the price quoted seems generous for a side with one of the best home records in Spain over the last two years.
Unai Emery's men have been in supreme form at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan in recent months winning seven of their last eight home matches in all competitions and scoring four goals in each of their last three home fixtures. In this kind of form they would prove a stiff test for any side in Spain.
Valencia for their part have been generally woeful on the road for a club of their stature, winning just one of their last seven away games. Los Che have lost at relegation threatened Rayo and in recent weeks struggled to insipid draws at Valladolid and Osasuna.
They are out of form and travel to a genuinely strong, confident side who will look to stamp their authority on this tie. The logical bet tonight therefore is a home win at a price is without doubt big enough for investment.
|Sevilla to win at 4/5 (1.80) 2.5pt stake with Paddy Power|
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports journalist and TV presenter in Madrid