Our Spanish tipster Phil Kitromilides has been in fine form recently and he expects Madrid to record a solid first-leg win at the Bernabeu tonight
The general feeling in Madrid is that Los Blancos are stronger and more confident than they were last year, while their Bundesliga opponents are a less imposing prospect due a number of high profile absentees.
Jurgen Klopp's side still possess enough quality to pose Madrid some serious problems this evening though and will not be underestimated by the hosts, despite their significant injury list.
Those injuries, together with Madrid's strong home form, mean bet365 price a win for Madrid at just 4/11 (1.36), making them overwhelming favourites with the bookmakers, while the visitors are offered at a healthy looking 15/2 (8.50). A draw is priced at 19/4 (5.75).
Carlo Ancelotti though has spoken of the importance of taking a decent advantage into next week's second-leg and also of the necessity of playing with high intensity.
Madrid will be looking to take advantage of Dortmund's high profile absentees namely Robert Lewandowski, Ilkay Gundogan and Jakub Blaszczykowski.
At the Bernabeu, in Europe, Madrid have been imperious over the last few seasons, and have not suffered a home defeat in the Champions League for three years.
While the price in a Madrid win outright does not appeal to the majority of punters, the odds of 9/10 (1.90) for them to win with a -1 goal handicap, looks tempting.
It has paid out in 11 of Los Blancos' last-16 home champions league games, and with Dortmund having kept only one clean sheet in Europe this season, Madrid should be capable of winning by a two goal margin and securing the kind of advantage that Carlo Ancelotti has spoken about.
|Real Madrid -1 handicap at 9/10 (1.90) for 2.5pts with bet365