JD's Betting Blog: Fiorentina bound for simple home win

Cup action gives punters plenty of chances to make extra cash, while the Bundesliga's return means more options this weekend
January is one of the busiest months of the year for football. We have enjoyed cup action in Italy, Spain and England this month. The games come thick and fast with plenty of opportunities in the market place - the return of the Bundesliga from its winter break this weekend giving us additional options.

System bets

Applying a more systematic approach to betting can pay dividends. A carefully considered and structured approach can often be much better than the difficult art of searching for value each weekend.

Layers do not like bettors who are structured or apply systems.  It means they have a plan and have identified 'an edge'.

Real Madrid form part of a systematic approach that I like. They are obviously one of the biggest and best clubs in the world. They come with added prestige and glamour and that affects the money they attract in the market place. In their last 25 away matches in La Liga, they have only won by 2+ more goals on 4 occasions.

If you have backed their opponents +1.5 in those matches, you have won 21 times and only lost 4 times. They simply don't win away matches as convincingly as the perception suggests. There are many other system bets like this which we can be used to gain a profitable edge.

Looking forward to the weekend, it is FA Cup time in England. Crystal Palace stand out as a big price at Wigan Athletic. They are a general 5/2 (3.50) and look worth siding with here.

The Eagles have improved immensely under Tony Pulis, a manager who will take the cup seriously. They are available at 3/4 (1.75) with bet365 in the double chance market and they can certainly avoid defeat.

In Italy, Fiorentina host Genoa in what looks a straightforward home win. However, seven out of the last nine home matches for the Viola have resulted in both teams scoring and this looks attractive at 11/10 (2.10) with bet365.  These two teams played out a five-goal thriller when they met here last season.

Crystal Palace win or draw at 3/4 (1.75) with bet365 Fiorentina v Genoa - both teams to score 11/10 (2.10) with bet365

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