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Our man in Madrid Phil Kitromilides feels an even money shot from the goal bands market is the smartest play on Sunday

It is a sign of just how strong Atletico Madrid are and just how disappointing Valencia have been this season that los Che are priced at 9/1 (10.00) by Bet365 to win at the Vicente Calderon on Sunday night.

Los Rojiblancos have made their cavernous stadium an absolute fortress, winning each of their last 10 matches on home turf, keeping clean sheets in each of the last five.

If Valencia are a higher price than they have been for some time at Atletico, then the hosts are shorter than one can remember recently, offered at just 1/3 (1.33) for the win.

There is a swagger about Atletico at the moment, a confidence mixed with aggression as they dominate teams without letting them settle into the game.

Valencia, by contrast have been timid, drawing their last two matches against Gimansatic Tarragaona and Kuban Krasnodar and we have seen little to suggest that they are capable of knocking Atelti off their perch.

The hosts have been rampant at home, netting 20 times in their last five matches, meaning backing Atletico to score over 1.5 goals is offered at just 1/2 (1.50).

Instead, backing two to three goals in the game at evens (2.00) looks like a decent selection which gives us options paying out in a 1-1 draw or a 2-0, 2-1, or 3-0 win for either side. This bet has paid out in three of Atleti's last four matches as well as in both meetings between the two sides last season.

BET
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DAY
BEST BET
2-3 goals to be scored at evens (2.00) for 1.5pts with bet365

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