Rafael Benitez's men are unlikely to show too much early ambition when they visit the Westfalenstadion but Al Hain-Cole expects the game to become more open after the break
Trailing their visitors by three points with just two games to go, this match represents a must-win fixture for Die Schwarzgelben, who are 8/13 (1.62) favourites with Paddy Power to come out on top.
Rafael Benitez’s men would seal their place in the knockout stages with all three points in Germany and are available at 9/2 (5.50) to emerge victorious.
A draw would also be enough for the Italians to progress, and you can get odds of 3/1 (4.00) on them earning a share of the spoils this evening.
Jurgen Klopp reacted angrily to recent suggestions that his team’s energetic high-pressing style has made them more susceptible to injuries, but the number of absentees does make for eye-watering reading.
First choice centre-back pair of Matts Hummels and Neven Subotic are currently joined on the sidelines by left-back Marcel Schmelzer and defensive midfielder Ilkay Gundogan, while right-back Lukas Piszczek is still easing himself back from a long lay-off.
Having been drafted in to face Bayern, recent free transfer signing Arne Friedrich is ineligible for European football, meaning midfielder Sebastian Kehl is expected to start in the centre of defence alongside Sokratis Papastathopolous.
Admittedly, this makeshift backline should remain relatively untested as their side start on the front foot against a Partenopei team happy to sit back and soak up pressure, aware that their opponents will settle for nothing but victory.
However, they are unlikely to hold strong once the game opens up and the visitors begin to make inroads on the counter attack, meaning there should be plenty of goalmouth action on display after the break.
A bet on more goals to be scored during the second period would have paid out in eight of Dortmund’s last 10 fixtures and three of Napoli’s four Champions League games this season, so appears to be where the smart money lies in tonight’s tense encounter, at respectable 10/11 (1.91) odds.
|Highest-scoring second half for a 2pt stake at 10/11 (1.91) with Paddy Power
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Al Hain-Cole is an experienced tipster and avid follower of European football. He specialises in accumulators and if you would like to read more from Al you can follow him on Twitter here.
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