Massimiliano Allegri's men are in desperate need of some home comfort after suffering yet another away defeat, and our tipster expects them to come out on top
A Paolo Maldini own goal earned the Biancocelesti their last victory in this fixture back in 1989 and they are outsiders at 17/5 (4.40) with William Hill to end their long wait by coming out on top tonight.
Sunday’s defeat against Parma means Massimiliano Allegri’s men have won just one of their last five fixtures in all competitions but they are 4/5 (1.80) favourites to ease the pressure with victory this evening.
The visitors have drawn four of their last six matches and are available at 13/5 (3.60) to earn a share of the spoils on their least favourite away ground.
Both sides go into this match craving a victory after underwhelming starts to the season but it is the hosts who are particularly desperate after defeat at the weekend left them 16 points adrift of leaders Roma with just nine games gone.
That result was the Rossoneri’s third defeat in five winless away league games this season and their inability to come out on top on the road is putting additional pressure on them when they play in front of their own fans.
Fortunately for Allegri’s side, they have won 13 and lost just one of their last 16 Serie A fixtures at San Siro, so should be confident of maintaining their superiority against a visiting side with nine defeats to their name in their last 13 on the road.
Having earned their solitary away point against struggling Sassuolo this campaign, Vladimir Petkovic’s men are unlikely to trouble their hosts’ impressive home record, and odds of 4/5 (1.80) are not to be ignored on Milan coming out on top.
The hosts’ last two home games have resulted in slender 1-0 victories and considering Lazio have scored just eight goals in their last 12 league games on the road, a similar margin would surely be enough to see off the visitors tonight.
Having kept six clean sheets in their last 10 home league games, odds of 11/4 (3.75) offer excellent value on Allegri’s men coming out on top in a match featuring under 2.5 goals against a team who have failed to score in seven of their last 12 on their travels.
|AC Milan to win for a 2pt stake at 4/5 (1.80) with William Hill
||AC Milan to win & Under 2.5 goals a 1pt stake at 11/4 (3.75) with William Hill
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Al Hain-Cole is an experienced tipster and avid follower of European football. He specialises in accumulators and if you would like to read more from Al you can follow him on Twitter here.
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