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The European qualification groups conclude this week, with Paulo Bento's side all but set for a play-off position - our tipster is picking out a bet in the handicap market

Portugal have been far from convincing during World Cup 2014 qualification, sitting in second position three points behind Russia in Group F, who will almost certainly win the group as they require only a point away to Azerbaijan.

Cristiano Ronaldo and Co. face bottom side Luxembourg at home in their final qualification match, knowing Israel cannot displace them from second position.

Portugal come into this match having drawn on Friday with a late error gifting Israel an equaliser to all but end their hopes of finishing top of the group.

Paulo Bento's men had a poor run back in September and October last year, where they lost to Portugal and drew to both Northern Ireland and Israel.

Despite having a mountain to climb to catch Russia, Ronaldo has come out to say the side still believes they can topple them. Paddy Power price them at just 1/50 (1.02) to win the match.

Despite sitting bottom of Group F, Luxembourg have given a good account of themselves in qualifying. Luc Holtz's men have picked up six points from their nine matches, including victory over Northern Ireland.

If they can find a way to take points in this match, then they could rise above Northern Ireland and potentially avoid finishing bottom of the group. Paddy Power don't give the visitors much hope though, pricing them at 40/1 (41.00). The same firm prices the draw at 16/1 (17.00).

It's tough to find value in this fixture, with the outright result, half-time/full-time and anytime goal scorer markets all offering little value. However, there seems to be a solid bet in the handicap market.

Portugal have been far from convincing in qualification, so backing Luxembourg +3 handicap at 13/8 (2.63) is certainly worth a small investment.

This bet will be determined on how well Portugal play, and when you consider it would have paid out against them in eight of their nine qualification matches, it's tough to ignore.

When the two sides met back in September last year, Luxembourg scored first, with Portugal coming back to win 2-1, so backing the visitors with a three-goal advantage could prove profitable again.

BET
OF THE
DAY
BEST BET
Luxembourg +3 handicap at 13/8 (2.63) 0.5pt stake with Paddy Power

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