JD returns from a profitable international break and this weekend he sees plenty of value in backing Malaga and Juventus to claim three points in their respective matches
International football can be very tricky for punters but they proved kind this time around with all five advised selections landing for members.
September has started very well and the aim is to bring that form into the weekend ahead. Punters should be extra vigilant in checking team news after international breaks. Coaches may decide to rest some players as there is a busy period of domestic and European competition action ahead.
Goals in plentiful supply in La Liga and Bundesliga
Although it is still very early in the season, some interesting trends have emerged in terms of match goals. In the first 30 Liga matches, 20 of them have gone over 2.5 goals. The Bundesliga is not far behind with 19 of the first 30 matches generating over 2.5 goals.
The English Premier League has seen a relative drought of goals with only nine of the first 30 Premier League matches going over 2.5 goals.
It is a huge difference but I'd expect that gap to close over the next three rounds of games. From a betting perspective, keep it in mind and make sure you keep the under 2.5 goals market on side in England until we see more goals.
If you are looking to back over 2.5 goals, Spain's top flight should be your first port of call. La Liga tends to have more value in the goals market then Bundesliga generally speaking.
This weekend's tips
Looking ahead to the weekend, Malaga look an interesting bet at home to Rayo Vallecano at evens (2.0) with bet365. Rayo lost a huge amount of players in the summer and are set for a season of struggle.
Malaga lost some key players too but their prospects for this season are brighter.
They have played well in all three matches losing just narrowly to Valencia and Barcelona. They gained a credible draw at Sevilla and coach Bernd Schuster will have identified this match as a great opportunity for three points.
A huge match in Italy takes place on Saturday between Inter and Juventus.
The champions have strengthened considerably over the summer with the arrivals of Carlos Tevez and Fernando Llorente and are many punters idea of potential Champions League winners this season.
Inter have started well but they are not the force of old and very much in a transitional phase. Juventus look worth backing here at 11/10 (2.10) with bet365 and could overpower their opponents at the San Siro. At 11/10 (2.10) with bet365 they look to offer plenty of value.
|Malaga to win at Evens (2.0) with bet365||Juventus to win at 11/10 (2.10) with bet365|
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