The hosts will be desperate to extend their strong home record to give themselves a chance of lifting a fourth title, but Al Hain-Cole thinks their defence will come unstuckAtletico Mineiro will be looking to win their first ever Copa Libertadores title when they travel to Asuncion to face Olimpia on Wednesday for the first leg of this year’s final.
Coach Ever Hugo Almeida made a record 113 appearances in this competition during his playing days at the Estadio Manuel Ferreira, and his side are available at 7/4 (2.75) with bet365 to get one hand on their fourth title with a home win.
Galo had to overcome a 2-0 away defeat in their semi-final against Newell’s Old Boys to reach their first ever final, but are slight 6/4 (2.50) favourites to make life a little easier for themselves with victory in Paraguay.
On the other hand, the visitors scraped through the quarter-final against Tijuana on away goals after two draws, and you can get odds of 23/10 (3.30) on the sides cancelling each other out in this one.
Home form has played a crucial role in El Decano’s shock progress to the final, with their unbeaten run of six wins and one defeat more than making up for a less than inspiring away record.
The hosts will know that their hopes of lifting the trophy rest largely on picking up a positive result in front of their own fans, and they will be encouraged that their opponents’ only win in their last four Copa Libertadores away trips has come against compatriots Sao Paulo.
The Paraguayans can certainly be confident of breaching a defence that has conceded in every one of their six ties on the road, but the presence of joint tournament top scorers Jo and Diego Tardelli in the opposition attack will pose a serious threat to their own backline as they push for a win.
A bet on both teams to score would have paid out in six of Olimpia’s last seven home games, and offers unmissable value at even odds (2.00) in this game.
Considering Tardelli has hit the back of the net in four of his side’s six away ties, he must be a prime candidate to score in this match, and is not to be missed at generous 12/5 (3.40) odds.
|Both teams to score at Evens (2.00) with bet365
||Diego Tardelli to score anytime at 12/5 (3.40) with bet365
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Al Hain-Cole is a Liverpool fan, experienced tipster and avid follower of European football. He specialises in accumulators and if you would like to read more from Al you can follow him on Twitter here.