Ecuador-Argentina Betting Preview: Hosts capable of holding high-flying visitors

La Albiceleste know that three points will be enough to ensure their qualification for World Cup 2014 but Willie Duncan believes that they may have to settle for a point on Tuesday
Argentina were held to a frustrating 0-0 draw against Colombia in Buenos Aires on Friday night and Alejandro Sabella’s men will be desperate to make amends when they travel to face third-placed Ecuador on Tuesday.

La Albiceleste go into this clash knowing that victory will be enough to ensure their participation in next summer’s showpiece in Brazil but Ecuador has not proven to be a happy hunting ground for Argentina in recent years.

Indeed, the visitors are looking for their first victory on Ecuadorian soil since 2001 and are chalked up at a chunky 2/1 (3.0) with Coral to claim all three points from Tuesday’s clash.

Ecuador have won all six of their home fixtures in qualification thus far and, indeed, have scored no fewer than 13 of their 16 goals in the competition on home soil.

Given their impressive home record, it is unsurprising to see Reinaldo Rueda’s men chalked up as 7/5 (2.40) favourites with Coral to bag another home victory here, while the draw can be backed at a tempting 11/5 (3.20) with the same firm.

Group leaders Argentina have conceded just eight goals in their 12 qualification fixtures thus far and it is worth noting that Ecuador have conceded just twice on home turf, so this match appears to have all the makings of a tight, tense affair.

Coral offer just 4/6 (1.67) that the meeting features fewer than three goals, while the same firm offer a tempting 19/20 (1.95) that the first half ends in stalemate.

For those looking to bag bigger prices, the 15/4 (4.75) quote offered up by Coral for the match to be drawn at both half-time and full-time may well prove worthy of support, while the 1-1 draw is decent value in Coral’s correct score market at a chunky 5/1 (6.0).

Having been forced to settle for a draw in their last two qualification fixtures, Argentina will be desperate to claim the victory that will secure their place in World Cup 2014.

However, La Albiceleste may well be kept waiting by home-specialists Ecuador and the 11/5 (3.20) quote from Coral for Tuesday’s match to end in a draw is the recommended play here.

                   BEST BET                                           VALUE BET
Draw at 11/5 (3.20) with Coral 1-1 Draw at 5/1 (6.0) with Coral

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