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On the final day of the season in the Segunda, a win for either side will take them back to the top flight and our Spanish expert is backing goals for Villarreal

El Madrigal has hosted some memorable encounters over the last few years, including a Champions League semi-final that will forever be etched into the memories of Arsenal fans, not to mention that of Juan Roman Riquelme.

Yet Saturday's match against Almeria is arguably the most important game the stadium has seen for decades. Quite simply it is winner takes all, with the victor being assured of a place in the Primera Division next season and the loser having to embark upon an agonising game of play-off roulette.
 
Both sides are bang in-form, scoring goals and winning matches with Villarreal having amassed four successive victories and their Andalusian opponents boasting five wins on the spin.

But the Yellow Submarine have been extremely tough to beat at home this season with their only defeat in 10 games coming against runaway champions Elche.

They start rightly as favorites at 10/11 (1.91) with Coral while Almeria are offered at 11/4 (3.75).
 
With two of the highest scoring sides in the division facing each other in a must win game, both teams to score looks nailed on at 1/2 (1.50) as does over 2.5 goals at 6/10 (1.60).

Instead back Villarreal to score over 1.5 goals at the fractionally more appealing price of 4/6 (1.65). This bet has paid out in each of the last five matches and in on-loan Frenchman Jeremy Perbet they boast one of the division's most prolific forwards.
 
Almeria for their part have only kept one clean sheet in their last six away games, which only serves to underline the validity of this selection.
 
For some slightly higher odds try backing over 3.5 goals in the match at 13/8 (2.63) a bet which has regularly paid out in matches involving these two sides this season.

BET
OF THE
DAY
BEST BET
VALUE BET
Villarreal to score over 1.5 goals at 4/6 (1.65) with Coral
Over 3.5 goals at 13/8 (2.63) with Coral

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Phil Kitromilides is a sports journalist and TV presenter in Madrid

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