The home side have been in excellent scoring form, and our Spanish expert Phil Kitromilides believes that will continue against a poor el Grana outfitWhile the rest of Spain is seduced with the romantic idea of Real Sociedad making it through to the Champions League this season, Valencia are facing the grim economic reality of what failure to qualify for the richest tournament in the world would mean for them.
Quite simply they cannot afford to miss out, yet fortunately for them, they have two eminently-winnable matches to finish off the season.
Last weekend's 3-0 victory over Osasuna means that Granada are all but mathematically safe, and while no one is expecting them to roll over at Mestalla, at home win looks like at absolute banker.
Coral price Valencia at 1/4 (1.25) with Granada offered at 11/1 (12.00) and that looks just about right.
Though los Che have had a difficult season all told, they have certainly come good in the last couple of months, with just one defeat in their previous nine matches.
It remains to be seen whether that is enough to see them into the Champions League next season, but all they can do is win their remaining two fixtures and hope Real Sociedad - who play Real Madrid next - slip up.
This should not be a problem against Granada and backing Valencia to score over 2.5 goals at 10/11 (1.91) looks to be an excellent way of making some profit.
This bet has paid out in three of their last four home matches and having netted 19 goals in their last six games, Valencia are certainly in form in front of goal.
For a value bet back Valencia to win with a -2 goal handicap at 17/10 (2.70) which has also paid out in three of their last four matches at Mestalla.
|Valencia to score over 2.5 goals at 10/11 (1.91) with Coral
||Valencia -2 handicap at at 17/10 (2.70) with Coral|
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports journalist and TV presenter in Madrid