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After another winner last night, our Spanish expert Phil Kitromilides believes the visitors will be vulnerable at the back and says there is value in backing goals for FCB

On more than one occasion during his tenure as Barcelona coach, Pep Guardiola referred to the number of points amassed by his side in La Liga as "una barbaridad". A literal translation of the word into English is difficult in this context although "obscene" or "brutal" might come close to expressing the sentiments of the Catalan legend.

One can only imagine then, what Guardiola's description would be of the 81 points that Bayern, the team he will take over in the summer, have amassed on their way to claiming the Bundesliga title in the shortest time ever.

The German champions have been spectacular this season and BetVictor price them at 13/10 (2.30) to record a first leg victory in this Champions League semi-final.

Barcelona for their part are available at 12/5 (3.40) with the draw offered at the same price.

Yet Barca's away record in Europe this season does not inspire much confidence with the Blaugrana winning just two of their five away matches, losing at Celtic and Milan, and picking up a draw in Paris in the previous round.

Though the price of 12/5 (3.40) for Barca to win a match is the biggest we have seen for quite some time, only the most optimistic of punters will back the Catalans to beat a Bayern side who have won 21 of their last 25 home matches.

What does look a nailed on selection is both teams to score and at 4/6 (1.65) it is fractionally bigger than one might have expected, while at the same time proving too small for most punters.

Instead consider backing Bayern to score first at the more universally appealing price of 3/4 (1.75).

This bet has paid out in seven of Bayern's champions league games this season, while Barca have conceded the first goal four times in the competition so far, each time against opposition inferior to the German champions.

For a value bet try backing Bayern to score in both halves at 9/4 (3.25) - a bet which has paid out in each of their last four matches at the Allianz Arena including against Juventus in the previous round.

If a red card is shown at any time during the Bayern Munich v Barcelona or Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid match, BetVictor will refund losing Correct Score, First/Last Goalscorer & Scorecast bets on that particular match up to a maximum of £50 per person/house. 

BET
OF THE
DAY
BEST BET
VALUE BET
Bayern to score first 3/4 (1.75) with BetVictor
Bayern to score in both halves 9/4 (3.25) with BetVictor

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Phil Kitromilides is a sports anchor working on TV in Madrid. You can also follow Phil on Twitter.

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