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With the hosts boasting a long unbeaten record at home, Phil Kitromilides believes backing the them in the Draw No Bet market offers serious value

On paper this is a match one would comfortably expect Mexico to win, but scratch beneath the surface and one will find that things might be a little complicated for the visitors. For one thing, Mexico have not won in Honduras for nearly 20 years.

Added to that stat is the respective form of the two sides, with Mexico slumping to an uninspiring goalless draw against Jamaica in the previous qualifier, while Honduras claimed a massive scalp by beating the U.S.A 2-1. Despite that, the home side remain the outsiders with Coral pricing a Honduran win at 13/5 (3.60), while Mexico are offered at 11/10 (2.10) and the draw available at 11/5 (3.20).

Considering all options though there could be a strong case made for backing Honduras in the Draw No Bet market at 5/4 (2.25). This will see your stake returned if the game ends all square.

As previously mentioned, Mexico's record when playing this opponent is poor, while Honduras have lost just one of their last 11 matches, and are rapidly becoming one of the forces in Central American football.

Having beaten the States, they will be extremely motivated to claim another major scalp, that of their Mexican neighbours, and continue their excellent run.

If opposing Mexico then looks a good idea, why not consider backing Honduras outright to win as a value bet at 13/5 (3.60).

Honduras have won each of the last four matches they have played against Mexico on their own turf, and bolder punters could well be rewarded with some excellent profits should the home side manage another win.

BET
OF THE
DAY
BEST BET
VALUE BET
Honduras "Draw No Bet" at 5/4 (2.25) with Coral
Honduras to win at 13/5 (3.60) with Coral

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Phil Kitromilides is a sports anchor working on TV in Madrid. You can also follow Phil on Twitter.

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