Both clubs are in resurgent form after disappointing starts to the season, and our expert thinks that the hosts' former Nerazzurri striker could prove decisive in a tight game
The Rossoneri are unbeaten in nine Serie A matches, while their hosts’ unlucky defeat away to Roma last weekend was their first since the reappointment of Davide Ballardini as manager in January.
The visitors are seeking to maintain the pressure on Napoli in the second automatic Champions League place, and are favourites at 10/11 (1.91) with bet365 to come away with a win that would bring them to within two points of their southern rivals.
Meanwhile, the hosts are on offer at 3/1 (4.00) to pick up three more precious points in the fight against relegation, and afford themselves some healthy breathing space above the bottom three.
Massimiliano Allegri’s men have drawn four of their last five away games within 90 minutes, and the home team’s run of three stalemates in the last six could make odds of 12/5 (3.40) seem tempting on this one finishing all square.
Despite adding Mario Balotelli to their already impressive attacking ranks, Milan have struggled for goals on their recent away trips, having hit the back of the net just four times in their last five outings.
However, a strong defensive line conceding just three goals in that time has allowed them to remain undefeated within normal time, so they should be confident of keeping at bay a team that have struck just twice in their last four matches.
What’s more, there have been under 2.5 goals scored in each of the last six between these sides, so odds of 8/11 (1.73) look very inviting on the goal tally staying under three in this match.
One man that Genoa will look to for goals is former Milan striker Marco Borriello, who has scored five goals in his last eight starts.
The Italy international will be extra motivated to hit the back of the net against the club where he spent his youth, and offers decent value at 21/10 (3.10) to get his name on the scoresheet.
|Under 2.5 goals at 8/11 (1.73) with bet365
||Marco Borriello to score anytime at 21/10 (3.10) with bet365
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Al Hain-Cole is a Liverpool fan, experienced tipster and avid follower of European football. He specialises in accumulators and if you would like to read more from Al you can follow him on Twitter here.
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