Diary of a Punter: Expect goals at Reading and Fulham

After another profitable weekend thanks to West Brom's win over Sunderland, Jim Knight has a Premier League double in mind which returns 8/5
Crystal Palace could not keep up their winning run, but a 4-2 victory for West Brom in the early kick-off on Saturday ensured another profitable weekend.

The lower leagues are in FA Cup action over the next few days so it will just be the one bet for me, consisting of an over 2.5 goals double in the Premier League.

Double: Over 2.5 goals in Fulham v Tottenham and Reading v Manchester United at 8/5 (2.62) with Paddy Power

Fulham have been in stuttering form of late, a bore draw against south-west London rivals Chelsea could be deemed a good result but it extended a run of one win in nine matches.

The good news for Martin Jol is that their home form is where they garner the majority of their points and their recent matches at Craven Cottage have seen plenty of goals.

Only one of the last five games has gone under 2.5 goals, and this Saturday they host a Tottenham side who are often involved in high-scoring matches.

Andre Villas-Boas' attacking philosophy means Spurs are prime candidates for an over 2.5 goals bet, their last six consecutive Premier League matches away from home have all gone over this line.

While Jermain Defoe is performing well in front of goal, the absence of Benoit Assou-Ekotto and Younes Kaboul as well as their tactical approach mean they have not kept a clean sheet on the road this season in the league. So over 2.5 goals at 8/13 (1.67) is a solid pick.

Even if you disregard the 7-5 defeat against Arsenal in the Capital One Cup, four of the last five games at Madejski Stadium have seen at least three goals.

Brian McDermott clearly sets his side up to attack whether they are home or away and although they have only recouped nine points from 13 games so far, the prospect of facing a Manchester United side who have only kept one clean sheet away from home in the Premier League this season will fill him with confidence.

West Ham created plenty of chances against United on Wednesday night and I expect Reading will also have their fair share of opportunities in front of goal too.

Norwich proved how you can beat Sir Alex Ferguson's side a couple of weeks back, but I don't think Reading have the defensive stability to execute such a game plan.
That 1-0 defeat at Norwich is the only game of the last six Premier League matches away from Old Trafford which has gone under 2.5 goals, so this game would seem to promise goals too.

Robin van Persie and Javier Hernandez have both been in fine scoring form this season and at 4/7 (1.57) with Paddy Power this completes a solid double at 8/5 (2.62). £15 of my bankroll goes onto this.

Win a £20 free bet

There was a big priced winner of the competition last week, David Rothwell tipped Adam Lallana to score first at 12/1 (13.0) in Southampton's win over Newcastle, well done to him! Can you hit a winner this weekend from any of Saturday's or Sunday's games?

If so, just send your best bet and its price to betting@goal.com and use "PP20" in the subject title to enter the competition. One entry per person, the editors decision is final.

Entry is open until midday on Saturday so get your emails in early to ensure your tip is counted.

Diary of a Punter: Jim's Selections this week
Balance at the start of the week: £522.25
Profit for the season: £22.25
Double: Over 2.5 goals in Fulham v Tottenham and Reading v Manchester United at 8/5 (2.62) with Paddy Power
Total staked this week: £15

Sign up with Paddy Power for up to £250 in free bets

Jim Knight is Betting Editor at Goal.com and has been tipping football games since he was old enough to place a bet. He is a Leicester City fan, writer and member of the We Are Going Up Podcast