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Martin O'Neill and Alan Pardew prepare for more Tyne-Wear derby drama at the Stadium of Light on Sunday. Adam Bate backs the hosts to start well but Newcastle to finish strongly

Newcastle have had the upper hand in the Tyne-Wear derby in recent times, but Sunderland will be confident of troubling the Magpies at the Stadium of Light on Sunday.

Martin O’Neill’s men suffered their first defeat of the season last time out, but that was away to Premier League champions Manchester City so shouldn't have dented confidence too much.

Sunderland are 6/4 (2.50) with Bet365 to pick up three points here and that’s the industry-best price.

Newcastle have lost three games this season in all competitions but, again, it’s worth noting that those defeats have come against Chelsea and Manchester United (twice).

Like their rivals, they come into this one on the back of a 3-0 defeat to a Manchester club, but will still feel they are in good shape to delight the fans with a derby win.

Newcastle are 15/8 (2.88) with Bet365 to achieve what they did last season and beat Sunderland on their own patch. The draw is available at 23/10 (3.30).

In the goalscorers market, Steven Fletcher is the favourite to break the deadlock at 5/1 (6.00).

However, the smart money is to back the Scotland striker to be Sunderland’s first scorer at 10/3 (4.33) with Bet365 – he’s netted all five Black Cats goals in the Premier League this season.

For Newcastle, Demba Ba is an industry-best price of 6/1 (7.00) with Bet365 to score last – he’s achieved that feat in three of their last four league games.

It would be no surprise to see Ba cancel out a Fletcher goal and a repeat of the 1-1 scoreline the last time these two teams met in March is available to back at 5/1 (6.00).

The draw is Sunderland’s most common scoreline this season – they've drawn more than half their games.

And interestingly, in their last three score draws they led at half time. In contrast, Newcastle have conceded the first goal in all four of their score draws this season.

As a result, the value bet here is to back Sunderland/draw in the HT/FT market at 14/1 (15.00) with Bet365.

BET
OF THE
DAY
BEST BET
VALUE BET
Fletcher first S'land scorer at 10/3 (4.33) with Bet365
Sunderland/draw at HT/FT at 14/1 (15.00) with Bet365

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Adam Bate is a professional freelance journalist who specialises in football and betting. He is editor of GhostGoal which can be found here - you can also follow Adam on

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