With the Vatreni boasting an imperious home record and the Brits poor on the road, Phil Kitromilides is backing a win and a clean sheet for the hosts this eveningWales' late comeback against Scotland last week sees them travel to Croatia looking for back-to-back victories, something they have not achieved for a year.
Their hosts this evening meanwhile also came from behind on Friday, with the Croatians defeating Macedonia 2-1.
William Hill offer another win for Croatia this evening at 3/10 (1.33) while the sheer magnitude of the task facing Chris Coleman's men sees them priced at 9/1 (10.00); put simply Croatia have only ever lost one competitive match at home in more than 40 games (against England back in 2008).
Wales' problems stem from a seemingly pathological inability to keep clean sheets, managing just two shut-outs in their last 12 matches.
Croatia, for their part, have only failed to score once in their last ten games (and that was against world and European champions Spain).
While the Croatian defence is not the most solid in world football, it is unlikely to be troubled by a Wales side who have managed just three goals in their last seven away games.
The price, therefore, of 4/5 (1.80) for Croatia to win while keeping a clean sheet looks to hold real value.
For some higher odds, consider backing a 2-0 win for Croatia - offered at 5/1 (6.00). This was the result when the sides last met two years ago, with Wales also losing three of their last five matches by the same scoreline.
|Croatia to win and keep a clean sheet at 4/5 (1.80) with William Hill
||Croatia to win 2-0 at 5/1 (6.00) with William Hill|
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports broadcaster working on radio and TV in London and Madrid. You can also follow Phil on Twitter.