Atletico have been in great scoring form, while Espanyol have been conceding. Spanish expert Phil Kitromilides thinks that will mean at least three goals at the Cornella El Prat
Conversely, things for Espanyol appear bleak, with the Catalans picking up just a solitary point from their opening five matches of the season, while Barcelona happen to be top of the table with a 100 per cent record.
Yet history gives Espanyol a slither of hope. They are unbeaten in their last four home matches against Atleti and Paddy Power price a win for Mauricio Pochettino's side at 11/5 (3.20). The team from the capital, meanwhile, can be backed at 11/10 (2.10) while the draw is offered at 12/5 (3.40).
However looking at recent results, one bet stands out above all others and that is to back over 2.5 goals at 4/5 (1.80).
There have been over 2.5 goals in nine out of the last 10 league matches that Espanyol have played at home, while each of Atleti's last six games in all competitions have had at least three goals.
Furthermore, this fixture has a history of goals with eight of the last ten meetings seeing over 2.5 goals. There is no such thing as a guaranteed winner, but this bet surely has a great chance statistically of paying out.
For a value bet, back Atleti to continue their fine scoring form and net three goals or more, offered at 10/3 (4.33).
Espanyol are yet to keep a clean sheet this season and have conceded three goals on two occasions already. Meanwhile, Los Colchoneros have scored at least three goals in five of their last six games, and have the league's leading marksman in Radamel Falcao.
They are well capable of exploiting a leaky Espanyol defence and notching up at least three goals.
|Over 2.5 goals at 4/5 (1.80) with Paddy Power
||Atletico Madrid to score 3 or more goals at 10/3 (4.33) with Paddy Power|
Sign up with Paddy Power for up to £250 in free bets and back Phil's selections for this match
Phil Kitromilides is a sports broadcaster working on radio and TV in London and Madrid. You can also follow Phil on Twitter.