Arguably things could have been even better had I opted for the outright win instead of the "draw no bet" option with Cheltenham and Yeovil, but you live and learn. The early season going can be tough to read so keeping things sensible is important, there is loads of time to build on the foundations we have built.
Congratualtions to our Free £20 bet winner Georgi Gogov who got in touch with his best tip for the weekend, Napoli to beat Palermo at 7/5 (2.40) with Paddy Power and they duly obliged.
If you want to win this week's free bet simply email your best tip for the games happening on Saturday 1 and Sunday 2 September with the price from Paddy Power to firstname.lastname@example.org and use "PPTwenty" in the subject line. Entry is open until midday on Saturday.
Now on with this week's selections.
Watford "Draw No Bet" v Derby County at 11/10 (2.10) with Paddy Power
Gianfranco Zola will have been pretty pleased with himself after the Hornets outplayed Birmingham City last Saturday evening, a 2-0 triumph lifted them to fifth in the table but they promptly went and lost 2-1 to Bradford in the League Cup on Tuesday night. The Pozzo family takeover has thrown the spotlight onto Watford in recent weeks but the early signs are promising with 20-year-old Udinese loanee Matej Vydra looking a class apart, especially against Birmingham.
Derby are no strangers to losing against lower league opposition themselves, they were involved in a bizzare penalty loss in the previous round against Scunthorpe after the game finished 5-5 and two points from three league games won't please Nigel Clough.
Watford did rotate heavily for the Bradford game and Pride Park should hold no fear for them this weekend as they bring back their best players.
Derby don't look anywhere near as defensively solid as they did last term and they haven't kept a clean sheet in their last eight matches, albeit some of those were friendlies.
The loss of Jason Shackell to Burnley in the summer hasn't helped and a price of 11/10 (2.10) on the "Draw No Bet" market about a Watford side who have some very talented loan signings and a solid spine in place appeals. £10 on that one.
Gillingham to beat Chesterfield at Evens (2.0) with Paddy Power
The second pick for this week is Martin Allen's Gillingham side to see off Chesterfield at Evens (2.0) with Paddy Power, and this one will be a £15 pick.
The Gills, along with Oxford are the only team with a 100 per cent record in the division, two of those wins came away too and they look full of confidence.
Chesterfield have struggled for goals and points so far after their relegation from League One, with just two goals scored in three games. They've not been conceding a lot but Gillingham should offer more of a test at Priestfield Stadium and I can't pass up the chance to double my money by backing the home side here.
Oxford United to beat York City at 6/4 (2.50) with Paddy Power
It's great to see York back in the Football League but they face an uphill challenge against Oxford on Saturday. York boss Gary Mills will be encouraged by his side's win at Barnet last time out but I can't see them getting much out of Chris Wilder's side who will be in the promotion mix come May.
Oxford are flying high after three wins in League Two and depsite a midweek loss to Leeds in the Capital One Cup they have got the quality to add another three points to their total.
Deane Smalley and Tom Craddock have been in fine form leading the line, and with just one goal conceded in their three league games so far, they're a tough nut for the opposition to crack. 6/4 (2.5) for an Oxford win appeals and another £10 goes on this selection.
Balance at the start of the week: £540.50
Profit for the season: £40.50
|Watford "Draw No Bet": £10 at 11/10 (2.10) with Paddy Power
|Gillingham to win: £15 at Evens (2.0) with Paddy Power
|Oxford to win: £10 at 6/4 (2.50) with Paddy Power|
|Total staked this week: £35|
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Jim Knight is Betting Editor at Goal.com and has been tipping football games since he was old enough to place a bet. He is a Leicester City fan, writer and member of the We Are Going Up Podcast
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