JD's Betting Blog: Ante-post picks from Italy and Germany plus weekend tips

JD is reviewing a tough start for the short-priced favourites, plus he has two tips involving Premier League teams including backing Manchester United and Chelsea both to concede
The opening weekend of the season in England and Spain was predictably tough with some shock results which left punters feeling under the weather.
Real Madrid failed to justify 2/7 (1.29) short-price favouritism and could only draw 1-1 with Valencia. Manchester United went down to a rare defeat at Goodison Park and even big spenders Paris Saint-Germain at 4/6 (1.67) in France could only muster a 0-0 draw at Ajaccio last weekend.

As I said last week, it is important to keep your stakes low in the first few weeks of the season. There are many unknowns involved in the first few weeks so it makes speculating that more difficult.

I was slightly down last week but have left that behind with two successful selections so far this week, advised at 16/10 (2.60) and evens (2.0) respectively, which has put me back in profit. I expect that to continue this weekend.

Ante-post selections in Italy and Germany

Serie A and the Bundesliga kick off this weekend and I have been scanning the markets with Bet365 for some strong ante-post selections.
With AC Milan weakened with the departure of Thiago Silva and Zlatan Ibrahimovic plus Juventus having managerial issues, it could be left open for a surprise package to win the Scudetto this season.

Zdenek Zeman has returned to the Italian capital with Roma and he is a coach totally committed to attacking football and more importantly, winning football. He has recruited well including the improved Michael Bradley, Mattia Destro and Italy international Federico Balzaretti.

They are an interesting bet at 12/1 (13.0) to be champions but if you think the title is out of reach, then can back them to finish in the top 3 at 9/4 (3.25) with Bet365. In Germany, Borussia Monchengladbach can repeat their wonderful season in 2011-12 by finishing in the top 4 in the Bundesliga.

They may have lost some players but have replaced them well with Luuk De Jong and Swiss talent Granit Xhaka both notable acquisitions. Bet365 gives you the option of betting on a team to finish in the top 4 and they are an attractive 16/5 (4.20) to do so.

Weekend selections

I am going to focus on the goals markets this weekend. Fulham are developing into a very attractive team under Martin Jol and they can take advantage of some defensive absentees for Manchester United by scoring at Old Trafford.

Their confidence will be sky high after beating Norwich City 5-0 in the opening match and both teams to score at evens (2.0) with Bet365 is the bet to be on.
Newcastle United can score at Stamford Bridge and I will make a move against Rayo Vallecano in La Liga by backing their opponents Real Betis to score over 1.5 goals.

Rayo are poor travellers and are one of the favourites for the drop. This combination pays around 19/10 (2.90) with Bet365.

Selection One
Selection Two
Manchester United v Fulham (Both Teams to Score) at Evens (2.0) with Bet365
Chelsea Clean Sheet (No) and Real Betis to score over 1.5 goals at 19/10 with Bet365

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