The Greeks know how to ruin a hosts' party on day one of a European Championship. But Adam Bate is backing Franciszek Smuda's side to shake off the pressure with three pointsYou suspect the initial reaction when Poland discovered that Greece would be the opponents when they kick off Euro 2012 in Warsaw on Friday June 8 was one of relief.
Tell that to Portugal. Cristiano Ronaldo and friends were hosts in 2004 when they were startled by the Greeks in the opening game of the tournament before also losing to them in the final.
Yes, it could have been a tougher draw. But that’s what Switzerland and Austria thought in 2008 when they opened their campaign as co-hosts against the Czech Republic and Croatia respectively.
Both lost 1-0. And that’s a scoreline Greece became very familiar with in 2004 – winning all three knockout games that way.
Greece haven’t won a game at the European Championships beyond that bizarre three weeks but three of that squad remain and would love to be the party poopers once again.
Fernando Santos' side are 37/10 (4.7) with Panbet to spoil Poland’s big day.
But under Franciszek Smuda, this young Polish side has become quite the hardened unit. Smuda has focused upon keeping things tight, defending in numbers and hoping to nick a goal.
With Wojciech Szczesny between the posts, and the Dortmund pairing of Lukasz Piszczek and Jakub Blaszczykowski raiding down the right to feed their club team-mate Robert Lewandowski, it’s working.
Look at the recent results – 1-0 v Slovakia, 1-0 v Latvia and 1-0 v Bosnia. Another 1-0 win for the hosts is priced at 9/2 (5.5) which looks worthy of some consideration for those looking to start the tournament off with a bigger-priced win.
You can back Poland to add Greece to that list of defeats in this game at 10/11 (1.91) with Panbet, a decent enough price considering the sqauds on show and Poland's home advantage. The draw is available at 49/20 (3.45).
There has also been a goalless draw against Portugal among those 2012 results so those who wish to play ultra-safe can back Poland in the double chance market at 2/9 (1.22).
However, those odds are not sufficiently appealing given the lingering possibility of Greece somehow edging this with a customary 1-0 and a 9/2 (5.5) it's definitey the pick of the scorelines.
The pick of the bets here is to back under 2.5 goals at 47/100 (1.47) with Panbet. Whichever side scores first is likely to sit on their lead, making three goals appear a long way off in this one and should provide a solid price winner with which to begin the tournament.
But for the value bet, it has to be Poland that you back to get that goal. They haven’t conceded in their last five games and 10/11 (1.91) is a good price for them to get the job done at the other end.
|Best Bet - Under 2.5 goals at 47/100 (1.47) with Panbet
||Value Bet - Poland to win at 10/11 (1.91) with Panbet|
Adam Bate is a professional freelance journalist who specialises in football and betting. He is editor of GhostGoal which can be found here - you can also follow Adam on
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