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Both sides have been involved in high-scoring matches recently and Phil Kitromilides is backing least three goals being netted at the Mestalla

Despite an abject performance in last week's Europa League first leg semi-final when they were out-played and out-thought by Atletico Madrid, Valencia's slim hopes of progress remain in tact thanks largely to Ricardo Costa's injury-time strike, which at least gave Unai Emery's men a double away goal in the 4-2 loss.

Valencia then must win, and win comfortably at the Mestalla, to get through to the final and 188Bet price a home victory at 93/100 (1.93) while Atleti are available at 13/5 (3.60) to record a win. Yet with both sides erratic at best in their recent form, backing either one may prove to be too risky, with the draw potentially appealing at 23/10 (3.30).

Predicting exactly which Valencia side will turn up in recent weeks has proved extremely challenging with Emery's team in their last six matches thrashing AZ, Rayo Vallecano and Real Betis, beaten convincingly by Espanyol and Atletico Madrid but became the the only team to keep a clean sheet at the Santiago Bernabeu this season.

One constant factor during this turbulent run has been goals and lots of them. Five out of their last six games have seen four goals or more, with Valencia scoring and conceding in abundance.

Atletico too have been involved in a few goal-fests recently, with three of their last four games producing four goals or more. Bearing all this in mind backing over 2.5 goals looks to be a nailed on selection, at a price of 16/25 (1.64).

If goals look likely then for a value bet try backing Atletico to score in both halves, which is available at 3/1 (4.00). This bet has paid out in three of Atleti's last four Europa League games, and against a potentially vulnerable Valencia side it looks like offering some value.

BET
OF THE
DAY
BEST BET
VALUE BET
Over 2.5 goals 16/25 (1.64) with 188Bet
Atletico to score in both halves 3/1 (4.00) 188Bet

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Phil Kitromilides is a sports broadcaster working on radio and TV in London and Madrid.
You can also follow Phil on Twitter

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