Top tipster Adam Bate is backing a comfortable home win when the Shrimpers host Steve Evans' stuttering side in a key League Two encounter at Roots Hall
Crawley have been the biggest strugglers, winning just one of their last eight. It would appear to be a combination of FA Cup distractions and losing key players – strikers Matt Tubbs and Tyrone Barnett have left the club in recent weeks.
As a result, Southend are slight favourites in this one and you can back them at an industry-best price of 13/8 (2.63) with William Hill.
Do not write off Crawley, though. Steve Evans has retained the bulk of the team that won seven in a row in the autumn and beat Monday’s opponents 3-0 in the reverse fixture back in August. The price of 9/5 (2.8) with William Hill for a Crawley victory may tempt some. The draw is available at 21/10 (3.1).
In the goalscorers market, Dave Martin might be worth a look for Southend. The player has scored three goals in eight starts since a January move from Derby and is 14/1 (15.0) to grab the first goal.
Crawley are struggling for goals – they have managed just two in their last five league games – and need Sanchez Watt to recreate the form that saw him bag a brace against Cheltenham earlier this year. Watt is 8/1 (9.0) to open the scoring.
In the other markets, Crawley’s lack of firepower could encourage people to back a Southend clean sheet at 2/1 (3.0).
And with Southend games featuring fewer than three goals in each of their last four matches, backing under 2.5 goals at 10/11 (1.91) with William Hill appears profitable.
Given Crawley’s recent struggles, a Southend win is the Bet of the Day and, with the visitors unlikely to net in a low-scoring contest, backing a 2-0 home win at 12/1 (13.0) looks to be the Value Bet.
Bet of the Day
|Southend to win at 13/8 (2.63) with William Hill
||Southend to win 2-0 at 12/1 (13.0) with William Hill
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Adam Bate is a professional freelance journalist who specialises in football and betting. He is editor of GhostGoal which can be found here - you can also follow Adam on Twitter