Ed Malyon fancies tonight's Bundesliga game to go over 2.5 goals, with Claudio Pizarro an excellent price to score last at 6.50
In this period, clubs like Wolfsburg and Stuttgart have waltzed past them and won titles only to drop back past them again. While Werder's stability in this respect is part of their strength, we're yet to see how Dortmund will fare having won the league so impressively last season. The inevitable rumours of widespread departures circulated, but the only major sale was that of Nuri Sahin to Real Madrid.
They have, in turn, strengthened their side in a sensible manner, not splashing big amounts of money but signing players to fit their system, like Ilkay Gundogan, who made his Germany debut this week, and Ivan Perisic, who scored a remarkable goal against Arsenal. How well their small squad deals with the commitments of continental competition in midweek will, to a degree, define their season - which has started fairly unremarkably on the domestic front
Werder Bremen are second and have been a joy to watch in the most part. At times it's been a case of just trying to outscore their opponent, with no better example than the 5-3 win against Freiburg. The games with Hoffenheim and Leverkusen were far more reserved and they only won one of them, so don't be surprised to see the hosts force the issue on Friday night.
In Claudio Pizarro and Marko Arnautovic they may not have the most mobile strikeforce, but they've already netted nine between them and that has contributed to Werder Bremen games averaging 3.25 goals apiece.
With the attractive brand of football played by Jurgen Klopp's side as further evidence in support of a goalfest, and priced at 1.8, the overs are the bet of the day.
For a bigger priced punt, Pizarro has six goals in six but only twice has he broke the deadlock in a game. Back him as an anytime goalscorer or to be last scorer, as he is rarely substituted and has closed the scoring on three occasions.
Match Odds; Werder Bremen 2.87, Draw 3.30, Borussia Dortmund 2.40 (William Hill)
Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.73
Value Bet: Claudio Pizarro to score last @ 6.50
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Ed Malyon is a freelance sports writer focusing on the football betting markets. His personal website Valderramarama.com can be accessed here.