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France, Portugal, Russia & the teams that can join Germany, Spain, Netherlands, Italy & England in the Euro 2012 finals

France, Portugal, Russia & the teams that can join Germany, Spain, Netherlands, Italy & England in the Euro 2012 finals

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Who will clinch a direct flight to Poland-Ukraine and who will have to go through the play-offs? Goal.com puts the spotlight on the permutations and qualification scenarios

ANALYSIS
By KS Leong

The finale of the 2012 European Championship group stage qualifiers has arrived. With only one more matchday to go, it's time for the proverbial do or die.

Germany became the first team to join co-hosts Poland and Ukraine in the tournament finals, and Spain, Italy, the Netherlands and England have since followed them.

That leaves the likes of France, Russia, Greece, Portugal, Belgium, Serbia and Scotland, among others, to tussle for the remaining nine spots: four will go to the group winners, one to the best runners-up amongst all the groups, and four more via the play-offs.

Which teams will safely secure automatic entry to the Euro 2012 finals this Tuesday? Who will have to settle for the two-legged play-off? And which nation will have their hearts broken?

First, here is a reminder of the qualification rules:

- Group winners qualify automatically for the finals.

- One group runner-up with the best record (most points in games against the top five teams in the group) will also gain direct qualification.

- The remaining eight runners-up will contest a two-legged play-off and the winners will qualify to make up the 16 finalists.

- If teams are level on points at the end of the group matches, the following tie-breaker criteria will take precedence:
   i.) higher number of points won in the group games between the teams in question
  ii.) superior goal difference in the group games between the teams in question only
 iii.) higher number of goals scored in the group games between the teams in question only
 iv.) higher number of goals scored away from home in the group games between the teams in question only
  v.) results of all group matches in the order of superior goal difference, most goals scored, most goals scored away from home, fair play points

KEY:
Q = Qualified
E = Eliminated
PO = Advanced to play-offs


GROUP A GP



GD
PTS
1
Germany Germany (Q)      
9
9
0
0
25
27
2
Belgium Belgium
9
4
3
2
8
15
3
Turkey Turkey 9
4
2
3
1
14
4
Austria Austria (E)
9
3
2
4
-1
11
5
Azerbaijan Azerbaijan (E) 9
2
1
6
-15
7
6
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan (E)     
9
1
0
8
-18
3

LAST MATCHDAY:
Kazakhstan v Austria
Germany v Belgium
Turkey v Azerbaijan
  • Germany have qualified directly for the finals as group winners.
  • Belgium will seal their berth in the play-offs as group runners-if they defeat Germany in the final group game. A draw will be enough if as long as Turkey fail to win against Azerbaijan.
  • Turkey will be through to the play-offs if they beat Azerbaijan and Belgium fail to win against Germany. A draw will be enough if Belgium lose.
  • AustriaAzerbaijan and Kazakhstan have all been eliminated.

GROUP B GP



GD
PTS
1
Russia Russia (PO)
9
6
2
1
7
20
2
Ireland Rep of Ireland      
9
5
3
1
7
18
3
Armenia Armenia
9
5
2
2
13 17
4
Slovakia Slovakia (E) 9
4
2
3
-3
14
5
Macedonia FYR FYROM (E) 9
2
1
6
-6
7
6
Andorra Andorra (E) 9
0
0
9
-18
0

LAST MATCHDAY:
Russia v Andorra
Rep of Ireland v Armenia
FYROM v Slovakia
  • Russia are guaranteed a place in the play-offs. They will make the finals automatically as group winners as long as they avoid defeat to Andorra in the last matchday, or if Ireland fail to win against Armenia. Russia can also go through directly as the best group runners-up depending on results in Groups E and H.
  • Ireland can still go through as group winners provided they beat Armenia and Russia lose to Andorra. They will earn a spot in the play-offs as long as they avoid defeat in the last matchday.
  • Armenia will be in the play-offs if they beat Ireland on Tuesday.
  • Slovakia, FYROM and Andorra have all been eliminated.
  • Andorra will finish in sixth place, thus annulling their results for teams who are in the race for the best runners-up spot.


GROUP C GP



GD
PTS
1
Italy Italy (Q)
9
7
2
0
15
23
2
Estonia Estonia
10
5
1
4
1
16
3
Serbia Serbia 9
4
3
2
2
15
4
Slovenia Slovenia (E) 9
3
2
4
3
11
5
N. Ireland Northern Ireland (E) 9
2
3
4
-1
9
6
Faroe Faroe Islands (E) 10
1
1
8
-20
4

LAST MATCHDAY:
Italy v Northern Ireland
Slovenia v Serbia
  • Italy have qualified directly for the finals as group winners.
  • Estonia have played all their group games. They will remain in second place and book a spot in the play-offs only if Serbia do not win on Tuesday against Slovenia.
  • Serbia will leapfrog Estonia into second place and secure their berth in the play-offs if they win on Tuesday against Slovenia.
  • Slovenia, Northern Ireland and Faroe Islands have all been eliminated.


GROUP D GP



GD
PTS
1
France France (PO)
9
6
2
1
11
20
2
Bosnia Bosnia-Herzegovina (PO) 9
6
1
2
9
19
3
Romania Romania (E) 9
3
4
2
4
13
4
Belarus Belarus (E) 10
3
4
3
1
13
5
Albania Albania (E) 9
2
2
5
-7
8
6
Luxembourg Luxembourg (E) 10
1
1
8
-18
4

LAST MATCHDAY:
Albania v Romania
France v Bosnia-Herzegovina
  • France have secured at least a play-off berth. They will qualify directly for the finals if they avoid defeat to Bosnia and Herzegovina on the last matchday.
  • Bosnia-Herzegovina have secured at least a play-off berth. They will qualify directly for the finals if they beat France on the last matchday.
  • Romania, Belarus, Albania and Luxembourg have all been eliminated.
  • Luxembourg will finish in sixth place, annulling any results against them for teams who are in the race for the best runner-up spot.


GROUP E GP



GD
PTS
1
Netherlands Netherlands (Q)    
9
9
0
0
30 27
2
Sweden Sweden (PO)
9
7
0
2
19
21
3
Hungary Hungary (E) 9
6
0
3
8
18
4
Finland Finland (E) 9
3
0
6
0
9
5
Moldova Moldova (E) 9
2
0
7
-8
6
6
San Marino San Marino (E) 9
0
0
9
-49
0

LAST MATCHDAY:
Sweden v Netherlands
Hungary v Finland
Moldova v San Marino
  • Netherlands have qualified directly for the finals as group winners.
  • Sweden have been guaranteed a play-off spot. They can qualify automatically as the best group runners-up if they defeat the Netherlands on Tuesday. A draw may be sufficient but they will have to depend on other results in Groups B, F and H.
  • Hungary, Finland, Molvoda and San Marino have all been eliminated.
  • San Marino will finish in sixth place, annulling any results against them for teams who are in the race for the best runner-up spot.


GROUP F GP



GD
PTS
1
Greece Greece (PO) 9
6
3
0
8
21
2
Croatia Croatia (PO)            9
6
1
2
9
19
3
Israel Israel (E) 9
4
1
4
0
13
4
Latvia Latvia (E) 9
3
2
4
-1
11
5
Georgia Georgia (E) 9
2
4
3
-1
10
6
Malta Malta (E) 9
0
1
8
-15
1

LAST MATCHDAY:
Georgia v Greece
Malta v Israel
Croatia v Latvia
  • Greece have confirmed their place in the play-offs. They will become group winners and gain automatic qualification for the finals as long as they avoid defeat to Georgia in the last group game. They will also qualify directly regardless of their own result if Croatia fail to beat Latvia.
  • Croatia have confirmed their place in the play-offs. They can only win the group if they defeat Latvia and Greece lose on Tuesday.
  • Israel, Georgia, Latvia and Malta have all been eliminated. 
  • Malta will finish in sixth place, annulling any results against them for teams who are in the race for the best runner-up spot.


GROUP G GP



GD
PTS
1
England England (Q)               
8
5
3
0
12
18
2
Montenegro Montenegro (PO)
7
3
3
1
2
12
3
Switzerland Switzerland (E)
7
2
2
3
0
8
4
Wales Wales (E) 7
2
0
5
-5
6
5
Bulgaria Bulgaria (E) 7
1
2
4
-9
5

LAST MATCHDAY:
Bulgaria v Wales
Switzerland v Montenegro
  • England have qualified directly for the finals as group winners.
  • Montenegro have secured their place in the play-offs.
  • Switzerland, Wales and Bulgaria have all been eliminated.

GROUP H GP



GD
PTS
1
Portugal Portugal               
7
5
1
1
10
16
2
Denmark Denmark (PO)
7
5
1
1
8
16
3
Norway Norway 7
4
1
2
1
13
4
Iceland Iceland (E) 8
1
1
6
-8
4
5
Cyprus Cyprus (E) 7
0
2
5
-11
2

LAST MATCHDAY:
Norway v Cyprus
Denmark v Portugal
  • Portugal have not yet book their spot in the play-offs despite leading the group as they can still be overtaken by Norway on goal difference. However, they will win the group as long as they avoid defeat to Denmark on Tuesday.
  • Denmark have confirmed a place in the play-offs. They will win the group only if they beat Portugal on Tuesday. However, a draw may be enough to send them through directly to the finals as best runners-up depending on results in other groups.
  • Norway can only clinch a play-off berth if they surpass Portugal's goal difference in the final standings. However, they must first beat Cyprus on Tuesday and hope Portugal lose to Denmark.
  • Iceland and Cyprus are both eliminated.


GROUP I GP



GD
PTS
1
Spain Spain (Q)
7
7
0
0
18
21
2
Scotland Scotland   
7
3
2
2
1
11
3
Czech Rep. Czech Republic 
7
3
1
3
1
10
4
Lithuania Lithuania (E) 7
1
2
4
-6
5
5
Liechtenstein Liechtenstein (E) 7
1
1
5
-13
4

LAST MATCHDAY:
Spain v Scotland
Lithuania v Czech Republic
  • Spain have qualified directly for the finals as group winners.
  • Scotland will advance to the play-offs if they beat Spain in the final group match on Tuesday. A draw will be sufficient if Czech Republic fail to win at Lithuania.
  • Czech Republic will return to second place and secure a play-off berth if they beat Lithuania and Scotland fail to win in Spain. A draw will be enough should Scotland lose as the Czechs have a better head-to-head record if both teams finish level on points.
  • Lithuania and Liechtenstein are both eliminated.

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