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The Bianconeri went a fourth game without victory after squandering the lead against Real Madrid, but they still remain well poised after the Turks' failure in Denmark.

Juventus still has not won a game in the Champions League since seeing off Celtic in the last 16 of last season’s competition back in March. And yet eight months and six games on from that 2-0 second leg victory, they are clear favorites to qualify from Group B and again reach the knockout stage. It doesn’t always turn out this well.

Tuesday’s 2-2 draw against Real Madrid looked decent enough in and of itself, but it was a scoreline that would have left them staring at the prospect of having to win both of their remaining group fixtures in order to progress were it not for Copenhagen’s shock 1-0 victory over Galatasaray at the Parken Stadion.

Thanks to the Danes’ win, the Bianconeri know that a victory at home to Stale Solbakken’s side in three weeks will most likely leave them needing just a draw in Turkey in their closing game in order to qualify for the last 16. In a competition in which 10 points is often considered the minimum target, Juve could still get away with only notching seven.

DOUBLE-FIGURE FAILURES |
Teams knocked out of CL with 10 points
2012-13


2011-12

2006-07

2004-05


2003-04

2002-03

1999-2000

Chelsea
Cluj

Manchester City

Werder Bremen

Olympiacos
Dynamo Kiev

PSV Eindhoven

Borussia Dortmund

Dynamo Kiev

That they are still even mathematically in with any chance is a stroke of pure fortune. Yes, they have played well for large periods of their two clashes with Madrid, but it is only thanks to the convincing fashion in which the Spanish giants have polished off Copenhagen and Galatasary before now that Juve is in such a positive position.

Their third point of the group campaign came thanks to a Fernando Llorente equalizer after the team had somehow managed to throw away a 1-0 lead garnered through hard work and great vigilance. Arturo Vidal’s penalty – awarded for Raphael Varane’s rash challenge on Paul Pogba – was a worthy advantage, yet all it took was two individual errors for the Italian side to find itself behind.

First Martin Caceres tried a criminal pass across the face of his defense that allowed Karim Benzema to slip in Cristiano Ronaldo, then Kwadwo Asamoah’s inexperience as a left back was exposed by a great piece of footwork from Gareth Bale, with the Welshman slotting home confidently to put Madrid ahead.

Varane was again caught out when he turned his back on a Caceres cross, with Llorente making him pay, but by that point it was Galatasaray’s failures that were promising to be the most important of the night.

After conceding a wonderful early goal to Daniel Braaten, Roberto Mancini’s men simply never got going. Half-chances were made and wasted, but they rarely looked likely to come up with an equalizer, let alone a winner.

In its 2-2 draw at Juventus Stadium and then the comfortable home win against FCK, Gala looked more than capable of making Juve’s life hard in the race for qualification. But after its horror show in Copenhagen, it will need to beat Real Madrid in the Santiago Bernabeu if it is not to hand the advantage to the Bianconeri ahead of the crucial match day six clash at the Turk Telecom Arena.

Juve should be counting itself very, very lucky. Plenty of teams have failed to reach the last 16 of the Champions League despite collecting 10 group points. The Italian champions cannot now achieve double figures and yet are set fair for qualification. That’s just the way it happens sometimes.

Question marks remain over whether this Juventus side is good enough to truly challenge in Europe. Tuesday’s game gave us nothing in the way of answers, and there’s a fair chance that Antonio Conte’s side will head to the last 16 without even coming close to delivering a riposte of any sort.

After starting badly last year, they had to really get their hands dirty and were rewarded with the top spot in the group. This time around, the path looks likely to be a hell of a lot easier.

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