World Cup Draw: Best And Worst Case Scenarios For The USA
Goal.com's Noah Davis takes a look at the World Cup draw as it pertains to the USA.
As everyone in the footballing world knows, the draw for the 2010 World Cup takes place on Friday evening in Cape Town, South Africa. Charlize Theron will serve as co-host of the event that will determine each team's fortunes during the sport's biggest stage.
For the United States Men's National Team -- a squad that's coping with injuries to key players, but did receive the good news that star striker Charlie Davies may recover in time for the tournament -- avoiding a brutal group is crucial. In 2006, the Stars and Stripes failed to advance out of an excruciating foursome that included European powers the Czech Republic and Italy along with Ghana. The Americans are desperate to show the world they are a growing soccer power, and the squad that finished runner-up in the Confederations Cup needs to reach the knockout stage for South Africa to be considered a success. Below, Goal.com offers a look at the best and worst case scenarios for the draw.
POT 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, South Africa, and Spain,
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Best case: South Africa,
Italy
The host nation is by far the
weakest of the eight seeded teams and the 24 squads in Pots 2, 3, and
4 all hope to join South Africa's group. The Bafana Bafana has struggled
of late and recently recalled previously disposed manager Carlos Alberto
Parreira to turn its fortunes around. Even if the Brazilian succeeds,
South Africa won't be in a class with the other seven seeds and could
become the first host to fail to make the Round of 16. If the U.S. must
face one of the other seven seeded teams, the Azzurri are the pick.
In the Confed Cup, Bradley's bunch led the Italians before fading down
the stretch and the Red, White, and Blue played the eventual World Champions
to a 1-1 draw in Germany. The 2010 version is bolstered by the youth
of Giuseppe Rossi but is aging rapidly and could rely upon elder statesmen Francesco Totti and Alessandro Nesta.
Worst case: Brazil,
Spain
While the U.S. beat Spain and
ended the World No. 1's record-tying 35-match undefeated streak, it's
difficult to see the Americans earning a point against La Roja again.
The European side seems to have shed its reputation as a perennial underachiever
-- Confed Cup loss aside -- and has learned to win carried by Fernando
Torres and David Villa up front. Vincente del Bosque's side is 8-0 since
losing to the U.S., with an astounding 28 goals to its credit. As for
Brazil, the Samba Boys clearly outclassed Bradley's team during the
second-half onslaught in this summer's final. The South American power
is only getting stronger and has a knack for peaking during the World
Cup.
POT 3: Algeria, Cameroon,
Chile, Cote d'Ivoire, Ghana, Nigeria, Paraguay, and Uruguay
Best case: Algeria,
Uruguay
One of the weakest teams in
the field of 32, Algeria sneaked into the World Cup by winning a playoff
game with archrival Egypt. For the Dessert Foxes, merely reaching South
Africa represents a huge victory and the squad can't expect to advance,
although 24-year-old Siena striker Abdelkader Ghezzal waits to impress
with the world watching. Uruguay, another team that barely made the
finals, has a historic tendency to play poorly away from home. The team
rectified this a bit by earning a victory in Costa Rica's Estadio Ricardo
Saprissa, but South Africa represents an entirely different, and more
difficult, challenge.
Worst case: Paraguay,
Ivory Coast
Argentinean Gerardo Martino
led the White and Red to its fourth straight World Cup, finishing tied
for second in CONMEBOL, a single point behind Brazil (who Paraguay beat
at home, 2-0). The country's players ply their trade all over the world,
from South America and Mexico to the Bundesliga and the English Premier
League. Advancing to the Round of 16 for the third time since 1998 will
be a definite and achievable goal. Cote d'Ivoire, led by Chelsea's Didier
Drogba and Salomon Kalou, is one of the most talented and organized
sides in Africa. The team didn't make the knockout stage during 2006,
a failure it will be sure to amend on its home continent.
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POT 4: Denmark, France,
Greece, Portugal, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, and Switzerland
Best case: Slovakia,
Switzerland
If the U.S. learned anything
from its recent disastrous trip to Europe for friendlies against Slovakia
and Denmark it's that the team can play with the former side. Although
the American's left Bratislava with a 1-0 loss, Vladimir Weiss' squad
created few chances in the attack and is certainly beatable. Switzerland,
which won the easiest group in UEFA qualifying, doesn't boast the defensive
prowess it once did but the U.S., who struggle to score during the run
of play, could still have trouble hitting the back of the net. Think
a 1-0 match with the winning goal coming on a set piece.
Worst case: Denmark,
Serbia
The U.S., and the rest of the
world, caught a break when FIFA seeded the Netherlands instead of France
as the current incarnation of Les Blues isn't the monster it once was.
That said, Pot 4 features a host of strong teams. The U.S. was obliterated
by a depleted Danish squad. Admittedly, the Americans were also lacking
firepower up front and continuity in the back, but the match highlighted
some significant weak points for the Stars and Stripes. Serbia, who
boast American-bornraised centerback Neven Subotic, surprised the French in
finishing on top of Group 7. Radomir Antic's boys spread the goals around
evenly and defeating Serbia would be a difficult task for the Americans.
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Best-case group: South
Africa, Slovakia, U.S., Algeria Uruguay
Worst-case group: Brazil,
Denmark, U.S., Ivory Coast
Noah Davis covers the United
States Men's National Team for Goal.com.
Get all the latest U.S. National Team news with Goal.com's dedicated page.
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