Last week's result, a 2-2 draw at Camp Nou in the first leg of this last eight clash, means that Malaga are in a decent position, but know they will have to contain a Barca side who will be smarting after suffering their first league defeat at the weekend against Real Sociedad.
Nevertheless the bookmakers do not seem to think that will make much of a difference this evening, and having comprehensively beaten Malaga 3-1 away in La Liga less than two weeks ago, William Hill price another Catalan triumph at just 2/5 (1.40).
Malaga meanwhile remain outsiders for the win at 9/2 (5.50) with the draw offered at 17/5 (4.40).
The tip in the league meeting between these two sides at La Rosaleda was for both of them to score and a repeat this evening looks highly likely.
Malaga have scored in all but one of their last 22 home matches, while Barcelona simply have to score to stay in the competition.
However the price of 6/10 (1.60) is just a little too small for us to consider. Instead the price of 10/11 (1.91) for Barcelona to score in both halves looks much more attractive.
As previously mentioned, Barcelona must score and as such we can expect them to try and impose themselves on the game even more than they normally do.
This bet paid out comfortably in the last game these two played at La Rosaleda and would appear to have an excellent chance of doing so again this evening.
For a value bet back the Catalans to score exactly two goals in the first at 7/2 (4.50) with this proving the correct selection in both of Barca's last two games.
|Barcelona to score in halves at 10/11 (1.91) with William Hill
||Barcelona to score two goals in the first half 7/2 (5.50) with William Hill|
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports broadcaster working on TV in Madrid. You can also follow Phil on Twitter.