Brighton - Millwall Betting Preview: Why a goalfest looks unlikely at the Amex

Dec 18, 2012 9:45:00 AM

Tuesday's match brings together two sides competing for a place in the play-offs, and Al Hain-Cole thinks that there will be little to separate them in a low-scoring encounter

Thanks to a quirk in the Championship fixture list, play-off rivals Brighton and Millwall come head-to-head at the Amex Stadium in a solitary mid-week game.

This bonus match gives the visitors a chance to cement their surprisingly lofty place in the top six, while a win for Gus Poyet’s men would see them overtake Tuesday’s opponents and move into promotion contention at the halfway point in the season.

The hosts have been struggling for wins a bit of late, but having lost just one of their last 10, they are favourites at 11/10 (2.10) to come out on top this evening.

Millwall are one of the division’s form sides, with just one defeat in 15 games, and are available at 11/4 (3.75) to pick up their eighth win in 11.

No other Championship team has more league draws to their name than The Seagulls’ nine so far this season, and six of these stalemates have taken place in their last 10 outings.

Considering the guests have drawn exactly half of their last eight on the road, you could do a lot worse than have a stake on this one finishing honours even, at tasty odds of 51/20 (3.55).

Despite their reputation for aesthetically-pleasing football, Brighton’s main strength this season is a defence that has conceded just 21 goals so far – the joint best record in the league.

Poyet’s men would probably be flying if they did not possess the bluntest attack in the top half of the table, as their record of just 29 goals in 22 matches is underwhelming, to say the least.

The home fans have only witnessed more than a couple of goals in a match on one occasion in the last eight at the Amex, while five of the away side’s last six games have also featured two goals or less.

All of this means that odds of 89/100 (1.89) seem to offer great value on under 2.5 goals being scored in this match, and that is definitely where the smart money lies.

BET

OF THE

DAY

BEST BET

VALUE BET

Under 2.5 goals at 89/100 (1.89) with Marathon Bet

Draw at 51/20 (3.55) with Marathon Bet

Sign up with Marathon Bet for a 10% price boost on winning accumulators and back Al's selections

Al Hain-Cole is a Liverpool fan, experienced tipster and avid follower of European football. He specialises in accumulators and if you would like to read more from Al you can follow him on Twitter here.

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