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Both teams have endured relatively poor starts to the season, but Gian Piero Gasperini has tightened up Palermo's defence and Adam Bate is backing a low-scoring game

As recently as 2010 Palermo were the talk of Italy, finishing fifth in Serie A with Javier Pastore lighting up the league.

Only last year AC Milan were busy winning the Italian title yet again, with Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Thiago Silva playing a prominent role.

Now all the aforementioned players have been sold to Paris Saint-Germain and these two teams are struggling to get results.

Palermo have won just one of their nine games this season. Arsenal target Abel Hernandez is injured, while Fabrizio Miccoli looks a fading force at 33.

But, putting a positive spin on it, after conceding six goals without reply in their first two games, new coach Gian Piero Gasperini has seen his side let in just four in his six matches in charge.

Palermo are 21/10 (3.10) with William Hill to pick up a vital three points. The draw is available at the same price of 21/10 (3.10).

But the favourites here are a misfiring Rossoneri. There is an alarming lack of quality to Massimiliano Allegri's side and they have lost half of their 12 games so far this season.

But, they come into this game after an important win against Genoa and Allegri will be anxiously hoping that could prove a turning point. Milan are 11/8 (2.38) to win this one.

In the goalscorer markets, there is one stand-out option and that is clearly Stephan El Shaarawy – the Milan youngster who has netted seven goals in his last eight games.

In fact, the Italy international is a great bet to open the scoring given that he has scored 70 per cent of Milan’s last 10 goals – he is available at 11/2 (6.50) with William Hill to score first here.

That is the value option because Palermo have failed to score in six of their nine fixtures this season. And it is that record that informs the pick of the bets too.

Under 2.5 goals has paid out in six of Palermo’s last seven games as well as eight of 12 matches this season for Milan.

For the best bet in this one, back under 2.5 goals at the chunky price of 10/11 (1.91) with William Hill.


BET
OF THE
DAY
BEST BET
VALUE BET
Under 2.5 goals at 10/11 (1.91) with William Hill
El Shaarawy first goalscorer at 11/2 (6.50) with William Hill

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Adam Bate is a professional freelance journalist who specialises in football and betting. He is editor of GhostGoal which can be found here - you can also follow Adam on

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