Marcelo Bielsa's side will be aiming to turn this tie around when they host Sporting Lisbon. Adam Bate thinks there will be goals at San Mames
Athletic coach Marcelo Bielsa admitted to a tactical error in withdrawing Ander Herrera in that game while a goal up and the Basque side must now turn around a 2-1 deficit.
They are favourites to do just that and can be backed to progress at 4/6 (1.67) with Bet365. For Sporting and their coach Sa Pinto, a draw would be enough to send them through. The draw is available at 3/1 (4.0).
Of course, the Portuguese side do not even need to draw this game to advance to the final – a repeat of their result in the last 16 when they stunned Manchester City to progress on away goals after a 3-2 defeat away from home would be enough. Sporting are 11/10 (2.1) to qualify for the final.
In the goalscorer markets, Fernando Llorente is the favourite to open the scoring. The big target-man was rested at the weekend in preparation of this clash and will be looking to fire Athletic to a first European trophy.
Fernando Llorente is 11/4 (3.75) with Bet365 to net the first goal here. A price that is bound to be popular with punters given his impressive strike rate in this competition.
For Sporting, it was Diego Capel who bagged the crucial winner in Lisbon and he is a chunky 28/1 (29.0) to repeat the trick and complete the scoring in San Mames.
That is an outstanding price – the industry-best – with some bookmakers even offering a third of that pay-out for a Capel goal. As a result, it’s the clear value bet in this one and well worth a small investment.
But for the pick of the bets, always expect goals in Bilbao. Bielsa’s men have tightened up defensively of late but it is still just eight clean sheets in 34 La Liga games.
Given that Athletic have also scored in 29 of those 34 games, back both teams to score in this one at 8/11 (1.73) with Bet365 as your main bet.
|Both teams to score at 8/11 (1.73) with Bet365
||Diego Capel to score last at 28/1 (29.0) with Bet365
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Adam Bate is a professional freelance journalist who specialises in football and betting. He is editor of GhostGoal which can be found here - you can also follow Adam on Twitter