Our man in the Spanish capital, Phil Kitromilides, believes an in-form Real Madrid, who already hold a 3-0 first-leg lead, can net twice against their weakened rivals
Los Blancos' English assistant coach Paul Clement insisted on Saturday night that they would be treating the tie as if it were still 0-0 although Clement admitted that scoring a goal in the stadium of their cross city rivals could kill the tie.
It is hard to disagree, given that if Madrid get one goal, Atletico would then need to score five, making Diego Simeone's men rank outisders.
Furthermore injury and suspension have deprived them of first choice goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois as well as Diego Costa and David Villa.
Paddy Power price Los Rojiblancos at 16/1 (17.00) to qualify for their second successive Copa del Rey final, while offering them at a slightly less extravagant price of 19/10 (2.90) to win on the night.
The visitors for their part are offered at 7/5 (2.40) to record another victory with the draw available at 12/5 (3.40).
The first goal as mentioned will be crucial; if it falls to Atletico they will be given a modicum of hope, if Madrid get it then the tie is over.
At any rate, do not to expect Madrid to sit back and defend their lead, with Carlo Ancelotti expected to field an extremely strong line up, including Cristiano Ronaldo, available to play despite being inthe middle of a La Liga suspension.
Backing Madrid to score two or more goals at 11/10 (2.10) is worthy of consideration with Los Blancos hitting some decent scoring form.
As well and Ronaldo, the likes of Jese, Bale and Benzema are contributing and Madrid look extremely threatening in the final third.
This bet has paid out in ten of the last 13 Madrid derbies including in Madrid's last three visits to the Calderon and could offer some excellent value for punters this evening.
|Real Madrid to score over 1.5 goals at 11/10 (2.10) 2.5pt stake with Paddy Power|
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports journalist and TV presenter in Madrid