After two winners from two selections this week, our Spanish expert Phil Kitromilides believes that tonight's Copa del Rey clash at El Sadar will see less than three goalsIt was pointed out to Carlo Ancelotti in his pre-match press conference that the start to the year has gone exactly according to plan for Real Madrid, bringing three wins, three clean sheets and a shortening of the leader's advantage at the top of the La Liga table.
That does not tell the full story though, with Madrid perhaps yet to really hit their explosive best in 2014 despite the victories, and tonight holds a tough trip to Pamplona where they are unlikely to have things all their own way.
Madrid though, do boast a 2-0 lead from the first leg meaning that should they score, Osasuna will need four goals to eliminate them which seems incredibly unlikely. Betway price a win for the side from the capital at 1/3 (1.33). Osasuna meanwhile who are in decent form themselves are offered at 8/1 (9.00) with the draw available at 18/5 (4.60).
With Osasuna not the most prolific of sides and Madrid in solid rather than spectacular form, backing under 2.5 goals at 8/5 (2.60) could hold some value.
If Real Madrid manage to get the first goal then the tie is as good as over, and it may well end the match as any kind of contest or spectacle and that is an angle that could provide punters with a good opportunity to profit.
Backing a low scoring game has proved wise in Madrid's recent competitive fixtures, with under 2.5 goals paying out in five of their last eight games, including in both of their last two matches.
This bet has also proved the correct selection in five of Osasuna's last seven home matches, and while it does not always feel right backing a low scoring contest when Real Madrid are involved, this could turn out to be a wise move.
|Under 2.5 goals at 8/5 (2.60) 1.0 point stake with Betway|
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports journalist and TV Presenter in Madrid.