JD explains why he believes bet365's 11/10 quote on a South American side winning the World Cup is a good one and he also offers two tips for this weekend's matches
Injury ravaged Borussia Dortmund entertain Bayern Munich in perhaps the biggest match in Europe this weekend and the Merseyside derby is the stand out fixture in England.
South American sides are the value for World Cup
Uruguay became the last team to qualify for the World Cup in Brazil. They will join a very strong South American set of teams who will all be capable of making an impact in Brazil.
History tells us that European teams find it difficult to win the World Cup outside of their own continent and that trend could be set to continue.
Brazil and Argentina are amongst the market principals to lift the prestigious cup. Chile and Colombia have shown improvement for some time now and are capable of defeating any team on their day.
Uruguay and Ecuador will not be there to make up the numbers either and will challenge the majority of their opponents.
bet365 go 11/10 (2.10) on the winner originating from South America. History and the current quality of South American teams tells us that this is an excellent bet. The draw on December 6th will tell us more but at odds against this is a price that appeals.
This weekend's tips
Looking ahead to the weekend, Arsenal host high-flying Southampton. The Saints have been excellent this season. They have been remarkably solid and are clearly a well-coached side.
Notably, their last 10 away matches have gone under 2.5 goals and this trend is evens (2.0) with Paddy Power to continue. That's a bet that looks to offer plenty of value.
Real Madrid are around 3/10 (1.30) to overcome in-form Almeria in Spain. Real Madrid's inability to keep a clean sheet has been an issue for Carlo Ancelotti's side which may cost them against more accomplished opposition but has proved less of an issue against lesser teams.
Eight of their 10 wins have come at the expense of conceding a goal and we could well see a repeat of that trend this weekend. The 5/4 (2.25) on them to win with both teams scoring is worth an investment.
|Southampton v Arsenal (Under 2.5 goals) at Evens (2.0) with Paddy Power||Real Madrid to win and Both Teams to Score at 5/4 (2.24) with Paddy Power|
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