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Two evenly-matched sides do battle on Sunday but Adam Bate believes Andre Villas-Boas' side have shown the better form and does not expect Spurs to lose this one

Everton host Tottenham on Sunday in what could potentially be a pivotal game in the battle for fourth spot come May.

Spurs occupy fourth place going into the weekend but the Toffees can overtake their visitors with a win at Goodison Park.

Everton are 27/25 (2.18) favourites with Marathon Bet to claim the three points.

That is something David Moyes and his side have been struggling to do of late. Everton have won just one of their last nine Premier League fixtures.

Admittedly, they have also only lost one too – the rest have been drawn. As a result, the price of 51/20 (3.55) for the draw could be tempting here.

But Andre Villas-Boas is showing signs of getting some rhythm with his team and since losing the north London derby they have won three on the bounce in the league.

Tottenham are 14/5 (3.80) underdogs with Marathon Bet to pick up a crucial away win.

That is a good price for Spurs and it would be a surprise if they were beaten here.

The pick of the bets given Everton’s status as draw specialists is to back Tottenham in the double chance market at 41/50 (1.82) with Marathon Bet.

That is partially because it is difficult to see the home side stopping a Spurs team, boosted by the in-form Jermain Defoe, when in full flow. They have scored in 14 of their 15 Premier League games this season.

Tottenham have also scored in every away game and are 1/3 (1.33) to find the net in this one too.

The problem for Villas-Boas is that his side have also kept just two clean sheets in those 15 games as well.

Remarkably, those statistics for clean sheets and scoring in matches are exactly mirrored by the performances of Everton this season as Moyes tweaks his team to become a more attacking outfit.

That makes the price of 3/5 (1.60) for both teams to score look more than reasonable.

Indeed, Tottenham have conceded more than any team in the top 12 but are also the second-highest goalscorers in the league – their games all but guarantee goals.

The key for the punter is to identify when they might come and, in this regard, the fact that Everton are the Premier League top scorers in the first half should not be overlooked.

For the value bet, back both teams to score before the break at 57/20 (3.85) with Marathon Bet.

 
BET
OF THE
DAY
BEST BET
VALUE BET
Tottenham double chance at 41/50 (1.82) with Marathon
Both teams to score in the 1st half at 57/20 (3.85) with Marathon

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Adam Bate is a professional freelance journalist who specialises in football and betting. He is editor of GhostGoal which can be found here - you can also follow Adam on

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