With the Portuguese side struggling in the Europa League, Phil Kitromilides believes Alan Pardew's men will take advantage and will score at least twiceNewcastle welcome out-of-form Portuguese outfit Maritimo to St James' Park on Thurday evening, with the Magpies looking for a win which would see them qualify from Group D.
With Alan Pardew's men unbeaten so far in the competition and Maritimo yet to record a victory, it is hardly surprising to find the home team pretty short-priced favourites with Marathon Bet offering them at 43/100 (1.43).
Anything other than three points for Newcastle would be a real shock and odds of 8/1 (9.00) for a Maritimo win, and 73/20 (4.65) for the draw reflect this.
The price on a Newcastle victory will only appeal to serious punters, or perhaps as part of a treble or an accumulator.
Those looking to invest in this match will find odds of 13/20 (1.65) for Newcastle to score over 1.5 goals far more attractive.
While the first match between these two sides finished goal-less Maritimo have subsequently conceded in all three of their Europa League ties.
Newcastle for their part average two goals a game in the three Europa League matches they have played since their trip to Madeira, and they should have little trouble finding the back of the net at least twice against the side currently fourth from bottom of the Portuguese League.
For a value bet, that backs up our initial selection nicely, take the 51/20 (3.55) offered on Newcastle to win both halves which looks generous.
This bet paid out pretty comfortably in the Magpies' 3-0 win over Bordeaux earlier on in the campaign and with Maritimo really struggling having recorded just one win in their last five games, there seems little reason why Newcastle cannot win both halves this evening.
|Newcastle to score over 1.5 goals at 13/20 (1.65) with Marathon Bet
||Newcastle to score in both halves 51/20 (3.55) with Marathon Bet|
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports broadcaster working on radio and TV in London and Madrid. You can also follow Phil on Twitter.