There have been some tight matches between these teams over the years and while Adam Bate is expecting more of the same on Wednesday, he's also eyeing a 25/1 long shotIt’s international friendlies week and that means plenty of squad withdrawals. That can make it a tricky business for the punter but Sweden’s clash with England in Solna throws up plenty of intriguing possibilities.
Sweden come into this one fresh from their astonishing 4-4 draw in Germany last time out where they came back from four goals down to stun the home side.
Sweden are 8/5 (2.60) with Paddy Power to take that momentum into this game and pick up the win.
But that won’t be easy against an England side ranked 17 places above them and one that has won the last two meetings between the teams – both in the last 12 months.
England are 17/10 (2.70) with Paddy Power to make it eight wins from 12 games under Roy Hodgson. The draw that would preserve his unbeaten record (shootouts aside) looks a solid price at 9/4 (3.25).
In the goalscorers market, the clear favourite to find the net is Sweden striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic.
The Paris Saint-Germain forward has been in sensational form this season scoring 14 goals in 17 games for club and country. He is 5/1 (6.00) to open the scoring here with Paddy Power.
For England, the bookies see Danny Welbeck, who scored the winner the last time the sides met, at 15/2 (8.50) and Daniel Sturridge at 8/1 (9.00) as the most likely scorers for the visitors.
Backing potential debutants could be fun too – Crystal Palace youngster Wilfried Zaha is 10/1 (11.00) first scorer with Paddy Power while Leon Osman is 18/1 (19.00) to crown his call-up with the opener.
But a good value option is to back Gary Cahill to score first.
Cahill has scored five goals in 13 games for Chelsea so far this season and also has two in his last eight for England.
With Sweden surprisingly vulnerable from crosses and set-pieces at Euro 2012, the price of 25/1 (26.00) with Paddy Power for Cahill to open the scoring could be of interest.
In the other markets, backing unders when it comes to Hodgson’s side is always tempting given that England have conceded just six goals in 11 games under the current boss.
Under 2.5 goals has paid out in seven of those games - and that includes matches against San Marino and Moldova that can be discounted - so 4/6 (1.67) is a decent price.
But for the pick of the bets it has to come back to the draw.
Both sides drew their last games and that scoreline is available at 9/4 (3.25) – a great price given that seven of the previous 12 games between the two nations have ended up all-square.
|Draw at 9/4 (3.25) with Paddy Power
||Cahill first goal at 25/1 (26.00) with Paddy Power|
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Adam Bate is a professional freelance journalist who specialises in football and betting. He is editor of GhostGoal which can be found here - you can also follow Adam on