Fluminense - Bahia Betting Preview: Why a home win by at least two goals looks likely

With the Rio side unbeaten and in fine form, Phil Kitromilides believes they should comfortably see off a struggling Bahia outfit and has a 13/5 value bet for the game
Given Fluminense's start to the season, it is not surprising to find them short-priced odds-on favourites for this clash against Bahia, with Sportingbet offering them 4/11 (1.36) to record a victory. The side from Rio remain the only unbeaten team in the Brazilian Serie A, winning four of their last five games.

Things have not gone so well for Bahia, who are languishing second from bottom having failed to win away from home in their last six matches. Punters feeling ambitious can back them at 8/1 (9.00) while the draw is offered at 7/2 (4.50).

On Bahia's last trip to Rio they were comfortably beaten by Fluminense's rivals Botafogo 3-0, and a similar result looks likely, given the form of the two sides.

Former Lyon striker Fred has started the campaign in impression fashion, netting three goals in his last five games, while exciting young forward Samuel Rosa has three goals in his last four matches, and the two look like forming a formidable partnership up front.

While Fluminense are not the most prolific side in the division, against a struggling Bahia team who have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight matches, they will be confident of scoring a few goals.

The price of 8/15 (1.53) on Flu to score over 0.5 goals in the first half will appeal to punters looking to make a serious investment with this bet paying out in four of their last five matches.

But for some slightly higher odds, back Fluminense -1 in the handicap market available at 10/11 (1.90). An unbeaten team full of confidence with a pair of in-form strikers should comfortably beat a struggling side at home by two goals or more.

With Fluminense inspiring confidence then, those seeking a small value bet could do worse than backing them, (with a slightly smaller stake) at -2 in the handicap market priced at 13/5 (3.60) with this bet paying out the last two times Fluminense have played against sides struggling at the bottom of the table.

Fluminense -1 at 10/11 (1.90) with Sportingbet
Fluminense -2 at 13/5 (3.60) with Sportingbet

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Phil Kitromilides is a sports broadcaster working on radio and TV in London and Madrid. You can also follow Phil on Twitter.