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Two South American outfits clash in a game that screams goals and entertainment. The odds are well worth taking a look at...


Kick Off: Monday, June 27, 2010. 20:30 CET
Ellis Park, Johannesburg

In a World Cup where South American teams have excelled the two sides who finished first and second in domestic qualification clash for a spot in the last eight. Brazil, as always, are the favourites but Chile's Marcelo Bielsa has other ideas. Bring it on.

Brazil did what they needed to in the group stage without ever really showing their best form. North Korea kept the Selecao quiet for 45 minutes until their superior class showed in the second half, Cote d'Ivoire were dispatched handily before a scrappy draw with Portugal.

Kaka is expected to return to the starting XI after serving his suspension. Brazil have an outstanding record against Chile winning the last seven matches scoring a whopping 26 goals and conceding just three.

Chile lit up the group stage with their sparkling play and invention. Although their general play was a delight scoring has been an issue with just two goals from a total of 14 shots on target. Against Brazil they will need to be much sharper as opportunities will be at a premium.

Despite Chile's poor form against tonight's opponents Roja coach Marcelo Bielsa is bullish.

"We will play an all or nothing game, doing the impossible to ensure that the game develops to suit our style of play," he said in the build up.

Brazil Tips
Clearly the Selecao know how to beat Chile. They beat them 4-2 last time out, before then it was 3-0 away from home and handed out a 6-1 thumping in the 2007 Copa America. In all three games Brazil were at least two goals up by the break so there is some sensational value on offer tonight.

* Brazil to win the first half - 1.91

* Brazil first half Asian Handicap (-0.5) - 2.09

Luis Fabiano bagged two in the 3-0 demolition in Santiago. He has already scored twice in the tournament and is generously priced to be on the mark tonight.

* Luis Fabiano to score first/anytime - 4.50/1.90

Chile Tips
Frankly, Chile need a miracle and with several players suspended after losing their heads against Spain it doesn't look good. With only seven wins in 65 matches against Brazil they are going to need a sizeable slice of luck so your best bet is to back against them. Sorry Marcelo Bielsa, you're a great character but you're going home tonight.

* Chile Asian Handicap (+1) - 1.90

Betting Verdict

We expect Brazil to win but the odds (1.55) are too skinny to make a fortune. The last six games between these teams have produced over 2.5 goals so a safe bet is the same to occur tonight. The knock out stages have produced plenty of goals and with two South American teams charging this looks another money spinner

* Over 2.5 goals - 1.95

* Over 2.5, 3 goals - 2.13

Regular readers will know bet of the day has fallen head over heels in love with both teams to score in the last 16. It's happened in every game including Slovakia against the Netherlands which was the least likely. We're backing it again.  

Tonight's game screams goals, action and entertainment.

* Both teams to score - 2.20

Outside Value Bet

Red Card to be awarded - 3.20

This paid off handsomely for Chile against Spain after Marco Estrada was given a (harsh) early bath. Chile lost the plot against Spain for a period of time it's more than possible they'll do the same again tonight against their superior rivals.

Expert Eye
Robin Bairner, Goal.com International
"The statistics give Brazil a 78 per cent chance of winning this tie, but that would seem to weigh a little too heavily on the Selecao as Chile have shown themselves to be capable of meeting the best head on. While this is by no means a coin flip as to who progresses, la Roja are certainly capable of worrying their illustrious neighbours. Chile looked a little nervous against Spain at times, and they will have to get over that stage fright if they are to seriously challenge in this match. This, combined with their selection problems, could mean a difficult evening for la Roja."

Prediction:
Brazil 3-1 Chile

Odds on Brazil 3-1 win:
15.0

Brazil to win by two: 5.0

Match Odds: Brazil 1.55, Draw 3.99, Chile 7.09

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Odds correct at time of publication. Goal.com encourages all readers who bet to do so sensibly.



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